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Top stories

US Domestic Policy

Staff Cuts Force EIA to Delay Uranium and Outlook Reports

Authors

3

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Uranium Marketing Report

Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026?

Dec 29, 11:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.49%chance

215388

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3796

264

Will Iran acquire nuclear weapon by the end of 2027?

May 13, 4:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.27%chance

152279

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2956

338

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? [Polymarket]

May 20, 7:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

111129

OptionProbability

December 31

June 30

May 31

6

2

0

Will the US attack Fordow AGAIN before 2030?

Jun 22, 6:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.06%chance

10815

OptionVotes

YES

NO

128

78

Will a nuclear bomb be used against Iran before 2030?

Apr 7, 3:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.98%chance

14549

OptionVotes

YES

NO

396

25

USA and Russia back to bilateral trading in 2026?

Jan 6, 11:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.48%chance

7231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

163

62

Will Cameco 2026 realized uranium price exceed 85 USD/lb?

Feb 20, 4:26 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

20.25%chance

2184

OptionVotes

YES

NO

198

50

Will the U3O8 spot price exceed $50 per pound on September 29, 2026?

Mar 2, 9:11 PMSep 29, 9:09 PM

87.11%chance

2160

OptionVotes

NO

YES

260

38

Will Cameco 2028 uranium production (attributable share) exceed 34.0M lbs U3O8?

Feb 19, 9:54 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

56.1%chance

3147

OptionVotes

NO

YES

113

88

Will Cameco 2030 uranium production (attributable share) exceed 42.0M lbs U3O8?

Feb 19, 9:55 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

46.13%chance

3120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108

93

Will Cameco 2028 realized uranium price exceed 95 USD/lb?

Feb 20, 4:26 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

36.21%chance

2105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

75

Will Cameco 2027 realized uranium price exceed 90 USD/lb?

Feb 20, 4:26 PMMar 31, 4:00 AM

25.48%chance

271

OptionVotes

YES

NO

171

58

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