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Top stories

Shanghai AI Lab Launches InternVL3.5 Multimodal AI with 16% Better Reasoning, 4.05× Speed, Cascade RL, and LocalAI Integration

Shanghai AI Lab Launches InternVL3.5 Multimodal AI with 16% Better Reasoning, 4.05× Speed, Cascade RL, and LocalAI Integration

Authors

5

10 months ago

Prediction markets for US AI

By 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?

Feb 20, 10:31 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

39.2%chance

619656382

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5632

4083

Will consumer AI platforms (ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, etc) face an ‘economic blackout’ protest against the US govt?

Jan 25, 8:48 PMJul 30, 10:59 PM

6.1%chance

8449885

OptionVotes

YES

NO

39234

2549

Will AI cause the US Unemployment Rate to exceed 10% before 2030?

May 7, 2:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.31%chance

17233881

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1431

1003

What will be the net sentiment on AI benefits vs drawbacks in the latest YouGov US poll of 2026?

Jan 16, 8:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6618459

OptionProbability

-20 to -10pp

-30 to -20pp

-10 to 0pp

<-30pp (strongly negative)

0 to +10pp

+10 to +20pp

+20 to +30pp

≥+30pp (strongly positive)

33

23

22

9

7

3

2

2

By end of 2028, will AI be considered a bigger x risk than climate change by the general US population?

Apr 5, 4:25 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

64%chance

25317966

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2476

1753

Will AI allow us to talk to animals by 2034?

May 26, 12:16 PMMay 26, 1:59 PM

57.18%chance

568950

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1156

865

Will someone be convicted just for making AI porn in the US?

Mar 3, 10:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

81.56%chance

526037

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2022

240

Will the US enact AI regulation for all Mythos+ models in 2026?

Jun 16, 6:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.78%chance

175742

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15357

6512

Will more than half the US population actively work with AI daily by 2027?

Apr 14, 3:22 AMJan 21, 7:59 AM

45%chance

632824

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1095

834

Will a top US AI lab be nationalized by 2030?

Aug 27, 3:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

72.64%chance

412117

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1664

207

Will an all AI system be used for real-time fact checking during a televised US presidential debate before 2029?

Jun 6, 10:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

32.61%chance

271389

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1167

885

Will the US Gini index measured by the OECD go above 0.43 before the end of 2028, potentially due to AI developments ?

Dec 27, 4:20 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

55%chance

11274

OptionVotes

NO

YES

242

126

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