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Prediction markets for US Election Day

If Trump wins, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?

Mar 11, 11:22 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

12%chance

219107722

OptionVotes

YES

NO

16296

4599

Will Trump restrict porn?

Nov 7, 2:45 PMJan 16, 7:59 AM

13.13%chance

5912259

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2572

389

Will national gas prices in the US average above $3.60

May 22, 4:46 PMOct 30, 4:00 PM

97.89%chance

388825

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6806

147

Is Mojtaba Khamenei already dead?

Mar 11, 6:04 PMDec 31, 5:21 PM

5.35%chance

457870

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4206

238

Will the person who is next elected US President for the first time be over 70?

Oct 1, 2:28 AMDec 2, 7:59 AM

11.98%chance

335680

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1825

820

Will Polymarket allow US persons to trade on the 2026 midterms?

Mar 15, 5:43 AMNov 11, 5:59 AM

80%chance

253590

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2000

500

US Average Gas Price Is $4.100 or more on Election Day 2026?

Sep 10, 9:41 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

71.97%chance

111211

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1602

624

US Average DIESEL Price Is $6.000 or more on Election Day 2026?

Sep 11, 3:54 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

74.4%chance

161150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1720

569

US Average Gas Price Is $5.000 or more on Election Day 2026?

Sep 10, 9:43 PMNov 3, 11:59 PM

16.55%chance

7736

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1060

594

Will there be a bald US president before February 2049?

Sep 12, 5:02 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

36.06%chance

8405

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1331

751

Will Democrats US House Popular vote % be 12x or more the US Gas Price average on election day?

Sep 14, 5:35 AMNov 3, 11:59 PM

54.43%chance

7365

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1093

915

Will the US ban diesel exports before Election Day?

Sep 25, 1:21 AMNov 3, 4:59 AM

20%chance

6223

OptionVotes

NO

YES

322

217

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