US Election Day News

If Trump wins, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?

Mar 11, 11:22 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

36.42%chance

21294857

OptionVotes

YES

7340

6190

When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?

Jul 10, 9:36 AMMar 31, 10:59 PM

6722441

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2029

2028

Other

2030

2024

2025

Will the US government declare a new holiday in memory of Charlie Kirk?

Sep 11, 5:08 PMNov 4, 6:00 PM

2.51%chance

3517614

OptionVotes

YES

6230

161

Will Trump restrict porn?

Nov 7, 2:45 PMJan 16, 7:59 AM

13.16%chance

5812062

OptionVotes

YES

2569

389

IRON MEN: Which 6 of these 10 politicians will keep power longer? The next four "out" go to 0%, remaining six go to 100%

Jan 8, 5:27 PMFeb 2, 7:59 AM

349577

OptionProbability

Kim Jong Un, Supreme Leader of North Korea, 1982/1983/1984

Xi Jinping, General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party, 1953

Vladimir Putin, President of Russia, 1952

Alexander Lukashenko, President of Belarus, 1954

Narendra Modi, Prime Minister of India, 1950

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, President of Turkey, 1954

Volodymyr Zelenskyy, President of Ukraine, 1978

Donald Trump, US President, 1946

Mahmoud Abbas, President of the State of Palestine and Palestinian National Authority, 1935

Viktor Orbán, Prime Minister of Hungary, 1963

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Supreme Leader of Iran, 1939

Nicolas Maduro, President of Venezuela, 1962

Is Mojtaba Khamenei already dead?

Mar 11, 6:04 PMDec 31, 5:21 PM

17.01%chance

435825

OptionVotes

YES

2209

453

Will Polymarket allow US persons to trade on the 2026 midterms?

Mar 15, 5:43 AMNov 11, 5:59 AM

84.36%chance

213424

OptionVotes

YES

2323

431

Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO?

Jan 19, 9:56 PMNov 2, 11:59 PM

18.35%chance

152040

OptionVotes

YES

2109

474

Will the person who is next elected US President for the first time be over 70?

Oct 1, 2:28 AMDec 2, 7:59 AM

27.67%chance

211511

OptionVotes

YES

1043

826

Will SCOTUS vote to overturn Mississippi's mail-in voting law?

Mar 24, 5:34 PMDec 31, 6:33 PM

54%chance

8428

OptionVotes

YES

1083

923

IRON MAN: Who will be the ultimate iron man, the last holding power?

Mar 2, 9:49 AMFeb 3, 7:59 AM

1115

OptionProbability

Kim Jong Un, Supreme Leader of North Korea, 1982/1983/1984

Narendra Modi, Prime Minister of India, 1950

Vladimir Putin, President of Russia, 1952

Xi Jinping, General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party, 1953

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, President of Turkey, 1954

Donald Trump, US President, 1946

Volodymyr Zelenskyy, President of Ukraine, 1978

Brazil 2026 Election: US congratulates Brazil’s 2026 election winner within 24 hours?

Jan 29, 3:47 PMOct 27, 11:59 PM

32%chance

7110

OptionVotes

YES

146

US Election Day News

Prediction markets for US Election Day

Prediction markets for US Election Day

Prediction markets for US Election Day

If Trump wins, will the US enter a recession [WARNING: as measured by Sahm rule] before 2027?

When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?

Will the US government declare a new holiday in memory of Charlie Kirk?

Will Trump restrict porn?

IRON MEN: Which 6 of these 10 politicians will keep power longer? The next four "out" go to 0%, remaining six go to 100%

Is Mojtaba Khamenei already dead?

Will Polymarket allow US persons to trade on the 2026 midterms?

Will Trump announce before the midterms that US is pulling out of NATO?

Will the person who is next elected US President for the first time be over 70?

Will SCOTUS vote to overturn Mississippi's mail-in voting law?

IRON MAN: Who will be the ultimate iron man, the last holding power?

Brazil 2026 Election: US congratulates Brazil’s 2026 election winner within 24 hours?

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