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Prediction markets for US Independence Day

Will the MISO Indiana annual average wholesale electricity price for calendar year 2027 exceed 52 USD per MWh?

May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

32.79%chance

33501

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12321

8650

Which nations will the US stage military operations in before January 20th 2029?

Jan 5, 4:17 AMJan 19, 11:59 PM

152759

OptionProbability

Iran

Other

Cuba

Other Again

Mexico

Venezuela

Panama

North Korea

Iceland

Colombia

Denmark

Canada

100

100

63

55

53

52

43

27

18

15

14

5

Will MISO Indiana Hub 2028 day-ahead annual average exceed US$60/MWh?

May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

28.58%chance

42706

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12128

9013

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.59%chance

12744

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1031

884

Will China have more phase 3 drug trials than the United States in year X?

Jun 13, 11:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2440

OptionProbability

2030

2029

2028

2027

2026

69

61

52

39

34

Will Iran run out of ballistic missiles before the coalition runs out of interceptors?

Mar 16, 9:29 PMMar 16, 9:28 PM

65.93%chance

12152

OptionVotes

NO

YES

139

72

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