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Prediction markets for US presidential election

2028 US Presidential Election winner?

Jan 10, 6:40 AMNov 6, 7:59 AM

741823983

OptionProbability

JD Vance

Other

Gavin Newsom

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Pete Buttigieg

No 2028 Election

Kamala Harris

Josh Shapiro

Donald Trump (Sr.)

Marco Rubio

Nikki Haley

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Ron DeSantis

Donald Trump Jr.

Ivanka Trump

Gretchen Whitmer

Mark Kelly

Tulsi Gabbard

Andy Beshear

Tim Walz

Cory Booker

JB Pritzker

Glenn Youngkin

Wes Moore

Ruben Gallego

Elon Musk

Vivek Ramaswamy

Tucker Carlson

Joe Rogan

Kanye West

Tim Scott

Dean Phillips

Jimmy Donaldson(MrBeast)

Greg Abbott

Mike Gallagher

Raphael Warnock

Elissa Slotkin

Tammy Baldwin

Jacky Rosen

Shawn Fain

Abigail Spanberger

Mike Johnson

24

22

17

6

3

3

2

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Jul 18, 4:24 PMNov 8, 5:59 AM

25.05%chance

268398760

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145831

79110

Will JD Vance be nominated for President for the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Jul 18, 5:32 PMJul 2, 4:59 AM

53.15%chance

13456462

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11105

8877

Will the Democrats be favored to win the 2028 US presidential election in the last week of 2025, according to Kalshi?

Jan 22, 8:06 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

93.94%chance

6953022

OptionVotes

NO

YES

38605

2265

Will the 2028 US presidential election occur "as normal"?

Feb 19, 1:33 AMJan 28, 3:59 PM

68%chance

12929843

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11121

5741

Will the Two-term presidential time limit be repealed before the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Nov 21, 4:34 PMNov 28, 10:59 PM

7.18%chance

710104

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20076

7889

Will the 2028 US Presidential election happen normally?

Nov 5, 11:09 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

69.77%chance

116660

OptionVotes

NO

YES

15043

6736

Which party will the winner of the 2028 US Presidential Election be from?

Feb 6, 3:39 AMNov 13, 1:59 PM

526250

OptionProbability

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Other

56

43

1

Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?

Jun 12, 12:47 PMNov 6, 11:59 PM

293883

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

3rd Party

4th Party

5th Party

6th Party

7th Party

8th Party

9th Party

10th Party

Republicrats

Demopublicans

Other

57

41

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will Charles Schwab customers have access to a prediction market on the 2028 US presidential election?

Jan 31, 9:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

58.05%chance

183705

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10462

9632

Will Joe Biden survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Mar 18, 1:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

40.36%chance

242529

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1431

386

Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?

May 4, 5:27 PMNov 7, 6:00 AM

54.01%chance

512117

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1021

971

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