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Prediction markets for US presidential election

2028 US Presidential Election winner?

Jan 10, 6:40 AMNov 6, 7:59 AM

772980063

OptionProbability

JD Vance

Gavin Newsom

Other

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Marco Rubio

Tulsi Gabbard

Pete Buttigieg

Josh Shapiro

Kamala Harris

Mark Kelly

No 2028 Election

Nikki Haley

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Ron DeSantis

Donald Trump Jr.

Ivanka Trump

Gretchen Whitmer

Donald Trump (Sr.)

Andy Beshear

Tim Walz

Cory Booker

JB Pritzker

Glenn Youngkin

Wes Moore

Ruben Gallego

Vivek Ramaswamy

Tucker Carlson

Joe Rogan

Kanye West

Tim Scott

Dean Phillips

Jimmy Donaldson(MrBeast)

Greg Abbott

Mike Gallagher

Raphael Warnock

Elissa Slotkin

Tammy Baldwin

Jacky Rosen

Shawn Fain

Abigail Spanberger

Mike Johnson

Elon Musk

23

19

17

6

5

4

3

3

2

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Jul 18, 4:24 PMNov 8, 5:59 AM

22.68%chance

286451479

OptionVotes

YES

NO

158209

75318

Will JD Vance be nominated for President for the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Jul 18, 5:32 PMJul 2, 4:59 AM

55.06%chance

13957616

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11519

8526

Will the 2028 US presidential election occur "as normal"?

Feb 19, 1:33 AMJan 28, 3:59 PM

75%chance

13533614

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10400

7578

Will the CFTC permit real-money prediction markets on the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Apr 16, 9:58 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

82.3%chance

3523380

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2385

405

Will the Two-term presidential time limit be repealed before the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Nov 21, 4:34 PMNov 28, 10:59 PM

7.18%chance

710104

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20076

7889

Will the 2028 US Presidential election happen normally?

Nov 5, 11:09 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

69.77%chance

116660

OptionVotes

NO

YES

15043

6736

Which party will the winner of the 2028 US Presidential Election be from?

Feb 6, 3:39 AMNov 13, 1:59 PM

536307

OptionProbability

Democratic Party

Republican Party

Other

58

41

1

Will Charles Schwab customers have access to a prediction market on the 2028 US presidential election?

Jan 31, 9:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

55.21%chance

204208

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10135

9805

Will Joe Biden survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Mar 18, 1:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

56.96%chance

252884

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1182

624

Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?

May 4, 5:27 PMNov 7, 6:00 AM

54.01%chance

512117

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1021

971

Will someone vote in a US presidential election from the moon before 2060

Mar 28, 9:45 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41.06%chance

18636

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1146

999

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