Us Weekly News

Will GiveWell fund Intermittent preventive treatment in infants (IPTi) for malaria by 1st January 2027?

Dec 18, 12:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.79%chance

1964882

OptionVotes

YES

6128

4633

What significant changes in modern life will occur by the year 2030? [add answers]

Jan 26, 7:19 AMDec 31, 5:00 PM

376222

OptionProbability

Encountering a humanoid robot in public and not being surprised

People spending large amounts of time in VR hardware (100+ million hours per week in the US)

Fully driverless cars are >=1% of miles driven in the US

Major armed conflict between world powers breaks out (World War 3)

Any government in the world (local, regional, national) is run by an AI system

Revolutionary breakthrough in fusion energy

Global digital currency replaces traditional banking systems

Space tourism/travel becomes commercially viable for middle class

Will the Democrats be favored to win the 2028 US presidential election in the last week of 2025, according to Kalshi?

Jan 22, 8:06 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

60.55%chance

223853

OptionVotes

YES

12830

7603

Will there be a violent revolution or Civil war in America by 2100?

May 18, 10:12 PMApr 21, 5:59 AM

56%chance

363606

OptionVotes

YES

1025

960

Will I marry my girlfriend by 2032 year end? [M1,400 subsidy]

Mar 15, 9:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

59.47%chance

391109

OptionVotes

YES

2155

2089

If another Carrington Event hit the US, would most people be using electricity again in less than a week?

Jun 3, 6:34 PMJun 4, 6:59 AM

56.16%chance

17891

OptionVotes

YES

1132

884

Will a manifold user do something very cool by the end of 2029?

Nov 8, 3:18 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

31.94%chance

13498

OptionVotes

YES

1056

843

Will we see a widely adopted reform to the 40 hour work week in the US before 2030?

Apr 20, 11:13 PMJan 20, 11:00 PM

30.82%chance

12230

OptionVotes

YES

1089

951

Will any US state mandate that employers provide full-time employees 2 weeks of PTO per year by the end of 2030?

Sep 21, 1:18 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

72.83%chance

589

OptionVotes

YES

147

By 2030, will schools with four day weeks be more common than those with traditional five day weeks in the US?

Jan 18, 12:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.41%chance

454

OptionVotes

YES

184

Will any US state mandate that employers provide full-time employees 4 weeks of PTO per year by the end of 2030?

Sep 21, 1:19 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

59%chance

433

OptionVotes

YES

126

Will any US state mandate that employers provide full-time employees 6 weeks of PTO per year by the end of 2030?

Sep 21, 1:20 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

44.08%chance

330

OptionVotes

YES

118

103

Us Weekly News

Prediction markets for Us Weekly

Prediction markets for Us Weekly

Prediction markets for Us Weekly

Will GiveWell fund Intermittent preventive treatment in infants (IPTi) for malaria by 1st January 2027?

What significant changes in modern life will occur by the year 2030? [add answers]

Will the Democrats be favored to win the 2028 US presidential election in the last week of 2025, according to Kalshi?

Will there be a violent revolution or Civil war in America by 2100?

Will I marry my girlfriend by 2032 year end? [M1,400 subsidy]

If another Carrington Event hit the US, would most people be using electricity again in less than a week?

Will a manifold user do something very cool by the end of 2029?

Will we see a widely adopted reform to the 40 hour work week in the US before 2030?

Will any US state mandate that employers provide full-time employees 2 weeks of PTO per year by the end of 2030?

By 2030, will schools with four day weeks be more common than those with traditional five day weeks in the US?

Will any US state mandate that employers provide full-time employees 4 weeks of PTO per year by the end of 2030?

Will any US state mandate that employers provide full-time employees 6 weeks of PTO per year by the end of 2030?

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