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Prediction markets for USD Index

When will Elon Musk's net worth surpass $1 trillion?

Oct 2, 4:46 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

294962

OptionProbability

October 2026 or before

Other

January 2037 or later

June 2029

December 2030

June 2027

December 2026

October 2027

December 2027

December 2033

December 2036

61

31

3

1

1

1

1

1

0

0

0

Will Elon Musk become a trillionaire before July 2026?

Jan 27, 1:27 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

39%chance

26964

OptionVotes

YES

NO

125

80

When will Elon Musk first have a net worth of $1 trillion

Jan 30, 10:36 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

8916

OptionProbability

2026

2027

2029

2030+

2028

2025

77

6

6

6

4

0

Who will be the first trillionaire?

Dec 29, 5:04 PMDec 29, 11:59 PM

7191

OptionProbability

Elon Musk

Jeff Bezos

Larry Ellison

Mark Zuckerberg

Jensen Huang

Larry Page

Other

84

3

3

3

3

3

3

[Metaculus] Before 2032, will at least $30 billion in new funding be authorized towards US pandemic preparedness?

Oct 12, 10:19 PMJan 2, 5:00 PM

59.57%chance

471

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

93

Will Gerd Kommer outperform MSCI World over 10 years?

Jun 22, 6:39 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27.85%chance

547

OptionVotes

YES

NO

131

66

(AGI before 2050) x (FTSE Global All Cap Index Real Return)

Feb 7, 10:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

120

OptionProbability

(NO) x (-10% to <20%)

(YES) x (-10% to <20%)

(YES) x (<-10%)

(YES) x (>=20%)

(NO) x (<-10%)

(NO) x (>=20%)

29

25

12

12

12

12

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