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Prediction markets for User Account Control

[Metaculus] If there is an American AUMF or declaration of war against Iran before 2030, wil...l Tehran within one year?

Jul 10, 6:57 PMJan 2, 5:00 AM

36.72%chance

51508

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1313

762

Will the US military land troops on Qeshm before the end of April 2026?

Mar 22, 11:22 PMApr 30, 10:59 PM

30.77%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

150

67

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