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Valentine News

    Prediction markets for Valentine

    What is Quroe's favorite animal?

    Dec 14, 11:53 PMJan 1, 12:00 AM
    6543187

    OptionProbability

    Elephant - Loxodonta africana 🥈🥈

    Yellow-Lipped Sea Krait - Laticauda colubrina

    Red Fox - Vulpes vulpes 🥉

    Platypus - Ornithorhynchus anatinus 🥉

    Prehistoric Elephant - Palaeoloxodon namadicus 🥉🥉🥈

    Sonoran Desert Sidewinder - Crotalus cerastes cercobombus

    Ice Worm - mesenchytraeus solifugus

    Dog - Canis familiaris

    Cat - Felis catus

    Tiger - Panthera tigris

    Dolphin - Tursiops truncatus

    Penguin - Aptenodytes forsteri

    Lion - Panthera leo 🥈

    Axolotl - Ambystoma mexicanum

    Sea Otter - Enhydra lutris

    Honey Badger - Mellivora capensis 🥈

    Polar Bear - Ursus maritimus 🥈

    Wolverine - Gulo gulo

    Cape Buffalo - Syncerus caffer caffer

    Great White Shark - Carcharodon carcharias

    Blue Whale - Balaenoptera musculus

    Common Bed Bug - Cimex lectularius

    Giant Nematode - Placentonema gigantissima

    Pompeii Worm - Alvinella pompejana

    Sperm Whale - Physeter macrocephalus

    Penis snake - Atretochoana eiselti

    Giant Dragonfly - Meganeuropsis permiana

    Giant Pacific Octopus - Enteroctopus dofleini

    Triceratops - Triceratops horridus

    Kiwi - Apteryx australis

    Brown Rat - Rattus norvegicus 🥉

    House Mouse - Mus musculus domesticus

    Red Volcano Sponge - Acarnus Erithacus

    Sulfur Cave Molly - Poecilia sulphuraria

    Meerkat - Suricata suricatta 🥉

    Housefly - Musca domestica 🥉

    Feral pigeon - Columba livia urbana

    Coyote - Canis latrans

    Great black-backed gull - Larus marinus

    Leopard seal - Hydrurga leptonyx

    Western lowland gorilla - Gorilla gorilla gorilla

    Eastern lowland gorilla - Gorilla beringei graueri

    Brownthroated three-toed sloth - Bradypus variegatus 🥉

    Bornean orangutan - Pongo pygmaeus

    ❌Defeated: Hippopotamus - Hippopotamus amphibius 🥈🥈🥈 [beat by Brown Rat]

    ❌Defeated: Giant Panda - Ailuropoda melanoleuca [beat by Polar Bear]

    ❌Defeated: Orca - Orcinus orca [beat by Housefly]

    ❌Defeated: Hotwheels sisyphus spider - Hotwheels sisyphus [beat by Saltwater Crocodile]

    ❌Defeated: Saltwater Crocodile - Crocodylus porosus 🥈🥈🥈🥈 [beat by Red Fox]

    🚫Ineligible: Water bear - Milnesium tardigradum

    ❌Defeated: Ping-Pong Tree Sponge - Chondrocladia concrescens 🥉 [beat by Prehistoric Elephant]

    🚫Ineligible: human [I'm shortening this]

    🚫Ineligible: Tardigrade (LFG)

    🚫Ineligible: [This animal was edited in bad faith]

    ❌Defeated: Wolf - Canis lupus [beat by Prehistoric Elephant]

    ❌Defeated: Cliff Swallow - Petrochelidon pyrrhonota [beat by Elephant]

    ❌Defeated: Haast's Eagle - Hieraaetus moorei [beat by Prehistoric Elephant]

    ❌Defeated: Flightless Elephant Bird - Aepyornis maximus [beat by Saltwater Crocodile]

    ❌Defeated: Great evening bat - Ia io [beat by Lion]

    ❌Defeated: Funny valentine spider - Funny valentine [beat by Dermophis donaldtrumpi Caecilian]

    ❌Defeated: Yi qi dinosaur - Yi qi [beat by Elephant]

    ❌Defeated: Aha ha wasp - Aha ha [beat by Hippopotamus]

    ❌Defeated: Colossal Whale - Perucetus colossus [beat by Meerkat]

    ❌Defeated: Cuban Cockroach - Panchlora nivea [beat by Hippopotamus]

    ❌Defeated: Panther Chameleon - Furcifer pardalis [beat by Saltwater Crocodile]

    ❌Defeated: Giant Pterosaur - Quetzalcoatlus northropi [beat by Ping-Pong Tree Sponge]

    ❌Defeated: Lesser Flamingo - Phoeniconaias minor [beat by Honey Badger]

    ❌Defeated: Dermophis donaldtrumpi Caecilian - Dermophis donaldtrumpi 🥈[beat by Brownthroated three-toed sloth]

    ❌Defeated: New World Screwworm - Cochliomyia hominivorax [beat by Hippopotamus]

    ❌Defeated: Chinese giant salamander - Andrias davidianus [beat by Saltwater Crocodile]

    🚫Ineligible: [edited in bad faith]

    ❌Defeated: Australopithecus - Australopithecus afarensis [beat by Platypus]

    Other

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    Will Kanye perform in the 2027 Super Bowl halftime show?

    Mar 3, 2:14 AMFeb 15, 11:59 PM
    3.56%chance
    295974

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    1227

    188

    Which Performing Songwriters will be inducted into Songwriters Hall of Fame in 2026?

    Oct 23, 6:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    43068

    OptionProbability

    Gene Simmons and Paul Stanley of KISS

    Kenny Loggins

    Taylor Swift

    Gerry Beckley and Dewey Bunnell of America

    David Byrne

    Richard Carpenter

    Harry Wayne Casey

    Randy Bachman and Burton Cummings of The Guess Who

    Sarah McLachlan

    Alecia B. Moore p/k/a P!nk

    Boz Scaggs

    James Todd Smith p/k/a LL Cool J

    Charlotte Caffey, Kathy Valentine and Jane M. Wiedlin of The Go-Go’s

    90

    90

    90

    10

    10

    10

    10

    10

    10

    10

    10

    10

    10

    Will Twitter lose more than a billion dollars on labor law-related lawsuits from Musk's Twitter tenure, before 2026?

    Mar 9, 10:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    7.09%chance
    182331

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    2543

    778

    Will Twitter lose more than 100 million dollars on labor law-related lawsuits from Musk's Twitter tenure, before 2026?

    Mar 9, 10:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    68.82%chance
    362019

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1357

    755

    Who wrote the disappearing Valentine from the Deltarune newsletter?

    Feb 14, 6:39 AMDec 31, 7:59 AM
    121559

    OptionProbability

    Egg Man / The Man behind the tree

    The voice at the start of the game

    Gaster

    The secret boss of Chapter 3

    Chapter 3 Main Antagonist

    Mike

    100

    13

    4

    0

    0

    0

    Will I @henrithunberg like the following movies if I watch them?

    Jan 11, 10:51 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM
    13473

    OptionProbability

    Oppenheimer

    Tár

    Banshees of Insherin

    Drive My Car

    The Guilty (2018)

    Blue Valentine (2010)

    Conclave

    The Seed of the Sacred Fig

    Mommy (2014)

    The 400 Blows (1959)

    The Lunchbox (2013)

    Saraband (2003)

    Shoplifters (2018)

    Winter Sleep (2014)

    Sharknado

    Barbie

    100

    100

    62

    62

    59

    56

    52

    50

    46

    46

    46

    44

    43

    43

    36

    0

    Will Jordan Love play in the Valentine's Day Super Bowl?

    Feb 12, 5:06 PMFeb 15, 4:59 AM
    12.3%chance
    5228

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    304

    103

    Will "Don't Build It" March happen before Dec. 31, 2030?

    Feb 5, 3:46 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM
    31%chance
    5223

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    149

    67

    Will the "not-security" ruling in SEC vs. Ripple be successfully appealed?

    Jul 16, 9:37 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM
    24.39%chance
    5137

    OptionVotes

    YES

    NO

    198

    56

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