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Prediction markets for Value Average

Bluesky active users in December 2026

May 23, 8:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9988222

OptionProbability

Above 1 million

Above 2 million

Above 5 million

Above 10 million

Above 50 million

Above 100 million

43

5

4

2

2

1

Unemployment rate for new college grads increases in 2026?

Feb 17, 10:27 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.34%chance

322849

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2574

1507

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May 31st 2027? [Polymarket]

Aug 31, 2:30 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

39.63%chance

131652

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1234

810

Reparations by 2030?

Feb 10, 10:03 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

9.1%chance

28559

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1345

938

Will the CPI (less food and energy) be above 373.03 on Sept 2027?

Nov 11, 4:03 AMOct 10, 6:59 AM

35.76%chance

4340

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1340

746

If Democrats win the House in 2026, will Trump's approval rating be 40% or higher on January 1, 2028?

Oct 7, 2:14 AMJan 2, 5:00 PM

28.3%chance

5206

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1018

954

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June 30th 2027? [Polymarket]

Sep 8, 1:38 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

49.25%chance

7170

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1015

985

Will the average price per square meter of residential property in Kyiv city center exceed following values by 2030?

Feb 15, 5:39 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

4121

OptionProbability

Above 3000 US$

Below 2000 US$

Below 1000 US$

Above 4000 US$

Above 5000 US$

Above 7500 US$

Above 10 000 US$

58

57

50

50

50

42

32

If Republicans keep the House in 2026, will Trump's approval rating be 40% or higher on January 1, 2028?

Oct 7, 2:14 AMJan 2, 5:00 PM

23.5%chance

481

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1063

980

Will US median household income equal at least half of average home values by 2035?

Nov 18, 1:07 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

59.2%chance

244

OptionVotes

NO

YES

128

96

Arctic sea ice extent on Nov 20, 2026 (NSIDC daily value)?

Oct 22, 8:56 PMNov 19, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Below 9.5 million km²

9.5 to under 9.9

9.9 to under 10.3

10.3 million km² or above

25

25

25

25

What will the USDA Moderate-Cost Food Plan be for a family of four in August 2027?

Aug 13, 5:10 AMOct 1, 5:59 AM

00

OptionProbability

Less than $1,350

$1,350–$1,399.99

$1,400–$1,449.99

$1,450–$1,499.99

$1,500–$1,549.99

$1,550 or more

17

17

17

17

17

17

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