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Prediction markets for Value Average

Bluesky active users in December 2026

May 23, 8:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8568735

Will Semaglutide cost less than $2000 per year before 2031?

Jun 2, 7:29 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

78.03%chance

233707

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1885

531

Mortgage rates higher in 5 years?

May 23, 5:40 AMMay 23, 6:59 AM

70%chance

292272

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1627

505

Will housing prices in Arlington VA fall by more then 15% in two years.

Feb 27, 2:59 PMMar 2, 4:59 AM

27.72%chance

72000

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1615

619

Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?

Mar 24, 5:16 PMDec 31, 12:00 PM

43.83%chance

161022

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1087

856

Will the world become more secular in the next World Values Survey?

Sep 26, 5:33 PMMar 1, 7:59 AM

73.93%chance

25918

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1011

984

Reparations by 2030?

Feb 10, 10:03 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

9.1%chance

28559

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1345

938

Is the Koide formula correct?

Dec 4, 5:24 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

42.57%chance

7251

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1020

980

Will Protestant and English-speaking countries become even more individualistic in the next World Values Survey?

Sep 25, 8:23 PMMar 1, 7:59 AM

78.72%chance

10198

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1103

957

Will the average price per square meter of residential property in Kyiv city center exceed following values by 2030?

Feb 15, 5:39 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

3111

OptionProbability

Above 3000 US$

Below 2000 US$

Below 1000 US$

Above 4000 US$

Above 5000 US$

Above 7500 US$

Above 10 000 US$

58

57

50

50

50

42

41

Will US median household income equal at least half of average home values by 2035?

Nov 18, 1:07 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

59.2%chance

244

OptionVotes

NO

YES

128

96

Will the CPI (less food and energy) be above 373.03 on Sept 2027?

Nov 11, 4:03 AMOct 10, 6:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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