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Prediction markets for Value Averaging

Bluesky active users in December 2026

May 23, 8:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9075533

OptionProbability

Above 1 million

Above 2 million

Above 5 million

Above 10 million

Above 50 million

Above 100 million

52

15

4

3

1

1

🔮🌊 Will America get MORE WOKE in 2026? 🏳️‍⚧️✨

Dec 31, 3:07 AMNov 2, 7:59 AM

68%chance

14215060

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1458

686

[ACX 2026] What percent of the top 5 human average score will the best bot score in ACX 2026?

Jan 6, 11:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

116930

OptionProbability

90-100%

80-90%

100-110%

70-80%

60-70%

50-60%

110-120%

>120%

30-40%

40-50%

<20%

20-30%

28

20

16

9

5

4

4

4

3

3

2

2

Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?

Mar 24, 5:16 PMDec 31, 12:00 PM

56.41%chance

181372

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1318

626

Will canadian dollars drop below $0.70 usd before June 2026

Oct 24, 2:46 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

39.07%chance

91326

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1249

801

Will the world become more secular in the next World Values Survey?

Sep 26, 5:33 PMMar 1, 7:59 AM

80.16%chance

261218

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1311

896

Unemployment rate for new college grads increases in 2026?

Feb 17, 10:27 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.59%chance

251145

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2924

1415

Reparations by 2030?

Feb 10, 10:03 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

9.1%chance

28559

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1345

938

Will Protestant and English-speaking countries become even more individualistic in the next World Values Survey?

Sep 25, 8:23 PMMar 1, 7:59 AM

78.72%chance

10198

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1103

957

Will the average price per square meter of residential property in Kyiv city center exceed following values by 2030?

Feb 15, 5:39 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

3111

OptionProbability

Above 3000 US$

Below 2000 US$

Below 1000 US$

Above 4000 US$

Above 5000 US$

Above 7500 US$

Above 10 000 US$

58

57

50

50

50

42

41

Will US median household income equal at least half of average home values by 2035?

Nov 18, 1:07 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

59.2%chance

244

OptionVotes

NO

YES

128

96

Will the CPI (less food and energy) be above 373.03 on Sept 2027?

Nov 11, 4:03 AMOct 10, 6:59 AM

49.5%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1010

990

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