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Prediction markets for Value Averaging

Bluesky active users in December 2026

May 23, 8:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9278187

OptionProbability

Above 1 million

Above 2 million

Above 5 million

Above 10 million

Above 50 million

Above 100 million

35

15

4

3

1

1

🔮🌊 Will America get MORE WOKE in 2026? 🏳️‍⚧️✨

Dec 31, 3:07 AMNov 2, 7:59 AM

38.09%chance

18326121

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1275

784

Will Africa be a global power house in the nest few months

Mar 14, 4:20 PMJun 30, 2:01 PM

13.9%chance

4510612

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2489

402

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? [Polymarket]

Jun 18, 1:30 PMAug 15, 5:59 AM

47.52%chance

213488

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1051

952

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of August? [Polymarket]

May 29, 2:45 AMAug 31, 11:59 PM

52.48%chance

233083

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1051

952

Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?

Mar 24, 5:16 PMDec 31, 12:00 PM

52.02%chance

231487

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1232

698

Unemployment rate for new college grads increases in 2026?

Feb 17, 10:27 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.76%chance

251150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2937

1410

Reparations by 2030?

Feb 10, 10:03 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

9.1%chance

28559

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1345

938

Will the average price per square meter of residential property in Kyiv city center exceed following values by 2030?

Feb 15, 5:39 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

3111

OptionProbability

Above 3000 US$

Below 2000 US$

Below 1000 US$

Above 4000 US$

Above 5000 US$

Above 7500 US$

Above 10 000 US$

58

57

50

50

50

42

41

Will CO2 pass a daily average of 432.55 ppm at Mauna Loa on any day in 2026?

Mar 31, 4:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.98%chance

1105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1105

905

Will US median household income equal at least half of average home values by 2035?

Nov 18, 1:07 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

59.2%chance

244

OptionVotes

NO

YES

128

96

Will the CPI (less food and energy) be above 373.03 on Sept 2027?

Nov 11, 4:03 AMOct 10, 6:59 AM

49.5%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1010

990

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