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Top stories

US Intensifies Crackdown on Venezuela’s Cartel de los Soles with El Mayo Plea, 2,800kg Cocaine Seizure; Chile Debates Kast’s Pension Loan Proposal

US Intensifies Crackdown on Venezuela’s Cartel de los Soles with El Mayo Plea, 2,800kg Cocaine Seizure; Chile Debates Kast’s Pension Loan Proposal

Authors

8

3 months ago

Venezuela Appoints Carlos Martínez Mendoza as Reserve General Amid Military Deployment in Zulia and Táchira Border Zones

Venezuela Appoints Carlos Martínez Mendoza as Reserve General Amid Military Deployment in Zulia and Táchira Border Zones

Authors

5

3 months ago

Venezuela, Led by Nicolás Maduro, Appeals to UN and Guterres Over U.S. Nuclear-Capable Submarine Deployment in Caribbean; Cuba Supports

US Foreign Policy

Venezuela, Led by Nicolás Maduro, Appeals to UN and Guterres Over U.S. Nuclear-Capable Submarine Deployment in Caribbean; Cuba Supports

Authors

14

3 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Venezuela's Delcy Rodríguez Highlights Economic Growth, Chevron Oil Shipments; Maduro Accuses Rubio; Petro Responds to Giménez's Legal Threats

Authors

4

3 months ago

US Foreign Policy

Amazon Summit in Bogotá Sees Leaders Petro, Lula, Arce Call for Unity Against Narcotrafficking and Cartel de los Soles, Paraguay Terrorist Designation

Authors

9

4 months ago

French Citizen Camilo Castro, 40, Detained Without Cause Since June 26 at Paraguachón Border in Venezuela; Consular Rights Unmet

Authors

8

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Venezuela

Military conflict between the US and Venezuela in 2025?

Aug 28, 12:20 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.1%chance

810304463

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3135

637

US Military action again Venezuela in 2025?

Nov 15, 10:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.95%chance

16337893

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2138

468

US troops on Venezuelan soil before 2026 if US attacks Venezuela?

Oct 29, 9:28 PMDec 31, 10:14 PM

11.9%chance

329160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2720

368

Military conflict between the US and Venezuela by 2027

Oct 24, 11:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.8%chance

428935

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2086

1641

USA strikes Venezuela in first 2 weeks of December 2025?

Dec 1, 9:51 AMDec 16, 12:00 AM

6.2%chance

315067

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3888

257

Will Venezuela enter a new hot war with anyone by the end of 2026?

Sep 9, 4:20 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.3%chance

333815

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1026

974

Will Venezuela exercise de facto rule over any portion of Guyanese territory before 2026?

Dec 31, 4:32 PMJan 1, 10:00 PM

4.92%chance

153536

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3974

610

Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia before Venezuela invades Guyana?

Feb 16, 6:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

64.76%chance

261829

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2181

1572

Will there be a civil war in Venezuela before 2050?

Mar 30, 5:33 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

51.68%chance

251511

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1317

783

In 2025, iff Half-Life 3 announced then US-Venezuela Conflict? (Resolves XNOR)

Dec 2, 11:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.64%chance

71083

OptionVotes

NO

YES

163

61

Will Venezuela become more authoritarian in 2025?

Mar 1, 9:17 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

75.48%chance

11867

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1755

570

[Metaculus] If Venezuela invades Guyana before 2030, will the United States respond with military forces?

Jan 13, 4:21 PMJan 4, 5:00 PM

85.97%chance

13330

OptionVotes

NO

YES

260

57

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