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Prediction markets for Venus

Will a human reach Venus orbit before 2041?

Aug 27, 3:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

18.07%chance

646385

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1311

1031

Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2045?

Oct 20, 11:04 AMJan 5, 10:59 PM

22.81%chance

375381

OptionVotes

NO

YES

982

982

Will the Venus Life Finder enter Venus's atmosphere before 2026?

Mar 6, 1:53 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

2.85%chance

185180

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5422

135

Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2040?

Oct 19, 3:37 PMJan 15, 10:59 PM

19.77%chance

343167

OptionVotes

NO

YES

992

957

Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2065?

Dec 18, 12:22 PMJan 8, 10:59 PM

49.11%chance

322416

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1144

810

Will Rocket Lab successfully send an atmospheric probe to Venus by the end of 2026?

Sep 18, 7:29 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

26.82%chance

191992

OptionVotes

YES

NO

974

945

Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2050?

Dec 15, 1:41 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

32.62%chance

271920

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1078

761

Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2060?

Dec 17, 11:09 AMFeb 5, 10:59 PM

44.46%chance

271801

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1190

626

Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2055?

Dec 16, 3:54 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

38.87%chance

311632

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1115

752

Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2070?

Dec 19, 12:36 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

56.46%chance

171400

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1234

756

By 2035, will the presence of anomalously high levels of phosphine on Venus be confirmed by spacecraft?

Sep 29, 8:57 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM

40%chance

15553

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1102

799

Will a human reach Venus orbit before 2051?

Aug 27, 3:42 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

33.16%chance

10184

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1005

991

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