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Prediction markets for Venus

Will a human reach Venus orbit before 2041?

Aug 27, 3:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

19.12%chance

666463

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1242

1047

Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2045?

Oct 20, 11:04 AMJan 5, 10:59 PM

22.39%chance

405613

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1001

977

Will a human reach Venus orbit before 2031?

Aug 29, 4:17 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

5.48%chance

405549

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2401

843

Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2040?

Oct 19, 3:37 PMJan 15, 10:59 PM

15.57%chance

393632

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1209

938

Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2065?

Dec 18, 12:22 PMJan 8, 10:59 PM

52%chance

342621

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1199

756

Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2050?

Dec 15, 1:41 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

30.41%chance

312331

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1050

821

Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2060?

Dec 17, 11:09 AMFeb 5, 10:59 PM

46.19%chance

291998

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1214

596

Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2055?

Dec 16, 3:54 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

39.09%chance

341918

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1118

748

Will there be a crewed mission to Venus before 2070?

Dec 19, 12:36 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

57.03%chance

181496

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1247

746

Will it be scientific consensus that there is currently microscopic life on Venus by the end of 2034?

Sep 18, 7:11 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

11.45%chance

19941

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1114

962

By 2035, will the presence of anomalously high levels of phosphine on Venus be confirmed by spacecraft?

Sep 29, 8:57 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM

40%chance

15553

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1102

799

Will a human reach Venus orbit before 2051?

Aug 27, 3:42 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

38.16%chance

11259

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1066

869

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