OptionVotes
YES
NO
3674
272
2263
442
OptionProbability
Regular opposition broadcasts hacking Iran TV 3 more times. Like the State TV/IRIB satellite hack.
US/Israeli announce Iran navy annihilated. All surface ships bigger than 10 tons. Small subs also not counted
A brigade or base commander in any city switches sides
One or more Town(s), city(s), declare as free of iran regime control for over 2 days
Interim council fractures, or all current dead or one member defects publicly
High Profile flips - 2+ named officers go on video via Starlink calling on units to stand down or defect.
70
59
56
53
48
32
1713
838
136
74
989
987
1087
962
348
29
