Verifiable Processing Unit News

Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026?

Dec 29, 11:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.31%chance

214959

OptionVotes

YES

4224

237

Will OpenAI go public in 2026?

Jan 13, 7:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34%chance

343027

OptionVotes

YES

139

Will Hamas actually disarm in 2026?

Jan 3, 3:11 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.33%chance

222398

OptionVotes

YES

2946

339

Specific Events in the Iran War

Mar 2, 11:43 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

202003

OptionProbability

US/Israeli announce Iran navy annihilated. All surface ships bigger than 10 tons. Small subs also not counted

Regular opposition broadcasts hacking Iran TV 3 more times. Like the State TV/IRIB satellite hack.

A brigade or base commander in any city switches sides

Interim council fractures, or all current dead or one member defects publicly

One or more Town(s), city(s), declare as free of iran regime control for over 2 days

High Profile flips - 2+ named officers go on video via Starlink calling on units to stand down or defect.

100

Will 1% of Americans be cognitively augmented humans by 2033?

May 11, 1:46 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

12.58%chance

241311

OptionVotes

YES

1763

830

Who will be the next Attorney General of the United States?

Apr 2, 9:36 PMDec 31, 10:35 PM

14789

OptionProbability

Todd Blanche

Other

Lee Zeldin

Jay Clayton

Ken Paxton

Jeanine Pirro

Mike Lee

Ron Desantis

Vladimir Putin

Will 25% of Americans be cognitively augmented humans by 2040?

May 1, 9:18 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

19.45%chance

22500

OptionVotes

YES

989

987

Will 25% of EU citizens be cognitively augmented humans by 2040?

May 1, 9:41 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

19.11%chance

19383

OptionVotes

YES

1087

962

Company announces commercial room-temperature quantum processing unit (QPU) by EOY2027?

Jul 10, 2:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.63%chance

6378

OptionVotes

YES

348

Will the government of a European country propose to withdraw from NATO before August 1, 2026?

Apr 7, 11:50 AMJul 31, 11:59 PM

8.38%chance

10348

OptionVotes

YES

331

Will I (Student at UC Irvine) Win the Barry Goldwater Fellowship before I graduate

Jun 16, 6:37 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

37%chance

780

OptionVotes

YES

130

Mandatory DNA synthesis screening law in the US by '27?

Apr 14, 6:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.79%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

110

Verifiable Processing Unit News

Prediction markets for Verifiable Processing Unit

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Will Iran enrich uranium to weapons grade in 2026?

Will OpenAI go public in 2026?

Will Hamas actually disarm in 2026?

Specific Events in the Iran War

Will 1% of Americans be cognitively augmented humans by 2033?

Who will be the next Attorney General of the United States?

Will 25% of Americans be cognitively augmented humans by 2040?

Will 25% of EU citizens be cognitively augmented humans by 2040?

Company announces commercial room-temperature quantum processing unit (QPU) by EOY2027?

Will the government of a European country propose to withdraw from NATO before August 1, 2026?

Will I (Student at UC Irvine) Win the Barry Goldwater Fellowship before I graduate

Mandatory DNA synthesis screening law in the US by '27?

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