Vesu News
Prediction markets for Vesu
Will the Vesuvius Challenge recover at least one known lost work (>= 1k words) by 2030?
Oct 15, 11:17 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
59.35%chance
5315168
OptionVotes
1681
1326
Will the Vesuvius Challenge recover at least 85% of one 1000-word passage by 2030?
Oct 16, 2:31 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
77.89%chance
162100
OptionVotes
1017
84
What works will be discovered in the Herculaneum library? (Vesuvius Challenge)
Mar 13, 5:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
8251
OptionProbability
50
50
46
41
40
40
35
33
29
The next time Mt Vesuvius erupts, will 100 or more people die?
Aug 3, 5:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
15.08%chance
7220
OptionVotes
237
42
OptionVotes
239
118