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Prediction markets for Vibe

Will society collapse due to diminishing oil production after Peak Oil was reached? [vibes]

Mar 13, 11:43 AMJan 20, 10:59 PM

4.86%chance

10957

OptionVotes

YES

NO

973

170

Google releases a vibe coding app by EOY?

Oct 25, 6:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30%chance

15803

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

65

will I vibe with a community found through this market within a year?

May 11, 9:19 PMMay 12, 7:08 PM

31.56%chance

13678

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1472

679

Vibe-coding software reaches 100M+ MAU (summed across all platforms) by 2026 EOY?

Oct 22, 8:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.75%chance

5670

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1614

620

AI bigger than abortion: What will the VIBES say?

Jan 8, 5:57 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

43.47%chance

17519

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1035

962

How long until someone vibe codes a robot that accidentally kills them?

May 2, 8:47 AMDec 31, 10:23 PM

16510

OptionProbability

Before 2030

Before 2029

Before 2028

Before 2027

Before 2026

41

32

25

8

4

If Trump is elected, will consumer "vibes" return to pre-pandemic levels before the midterms in 2026?

Mar 9, 9:58 PMDec 1, 4:59 AM

21.35%chance

12255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

448

175

In 2030, will we still believe economies should mature into becoming service-based? [vibes]

Feb 20, 11:07 PMJan 2, 10:59 PM

66.8%chance

13252

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1012

960

Vibe stock

May 17, 9:55 AMMay 17, 9:59 PM

254

OptionProbability

NO

YES

86

29

If Biden is elected, will consumer "vibes" return to pre-pandemic levels before the midterms in 2026?

Mar 9, 9:56 PMDec 1, 4:59 AM

33.76%chance

450

OptionVotes

YES

NO

230

145

Will "Don’t ignore bad vibes you get from people" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jan 20, 4:21 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

15%chance

329

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

93

Will vibes support multi-language tools beyond TypeScript by 2026?

Apr 1, 7:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40%chance

10

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1

1

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