Vie News

Stray Kids’ ‘KARMA’ Sells 2 Million, ‘CEREMONY’ MV Featuring Faker Tops Charts; Doja Cat’s ‘Jealous Type’ Debuts with 3.17M Spotify Streams

1 year ago

Doja Cat’s "Jealous Type" Debuts No. 14 Global Spotify With 3.17M Streams, No. 8 US Spotify, Top 5 iTunes, 1.7M YouTube Views

1 year ago

Who is behind Twitter user @qorrenqial1215?

Feb 4, 3:21 AMJan 1, 1:06 AM

3538468

OptionProbability

Other

Celene (@toasterlighting)

Alice (@psyclyx)

Aria (@ariaurellium)

Olivia (@4confusedemoji)

Autumn (@adrusi)

mercury (@rodentiation)

Melody (@dawnlightmelody)

Zane (@JDVance)

Celeste (@parafactual)

@torrential12015

April (@apriisr)

Skye (@SkyeSharkie)

Annie (@annieposting)

Sercy (@dogmadeath)

Eliezer Yudkowsky (@ESYudkowsky)

Michael Vassar (@HiFromMichaelV)

Emma (@revoccue)

William Francis Mallett the Fourth

Roofon (@RoofOnTheHouse)

Vie McCoy (@viemccoy)

Moshe Yudkowsky (@mosheyudkowsky)

@Heronofmawi

@AIHegemonyMemes

Raven (@schellingwitch)

Alea (@noncanonicaleae)

light architect (@iceberm)

Octavia (@slimepriestess)

@tapolara

Liz Lovelace (@liz_love_lace)

Hephaistos Fnord (@HephaistosF)

Tetra (@tetraspacewest)

Jessica (@jessi_cata)

Emmett Shear (@eshear)

Caleb Ditchfield

Thiago Coelho (@thiagovscoelho)

Nicholas Decker (@captgouda24)

Pope Leo XIV (@pontifex)

Will Ice Cream turn out to actually be "healthy" based on consensus view at EOY 2026?

Nov 11, 7:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.39%chance

2112795

OptionVotes

YES

13866

3633

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 1B views before 2027?

Jan 5, 12:58 AMJan 6, 10:59 PM

30.11%chance

446932

OptionVotes

YES

1560

597

If Rational Animations invites viewers to read LessWrong in a video, how many new users will join LessWrong as a result?

May 4, 10:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.74%chance

965688

OptionProbability

YES

1903

1563

Will Vietnam execute someone for fraud?

Jun 15, 1:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 PM

14.86%chance

123118

OptionVotes

YES

3582

645

Will the first Manifold market to reach 1 million views have 10,000 or more traders before it reaches 1 million views?

Feb 17, 5:23 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

44%chance

162098

OptionVotes

YES

1153

856

In 2028, Will a >5 min video completely generated by an AI have more than 1 billion views on Youtube?

Sep 26, 1:10 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

41.9%chance

451869

OptionVotes

YES

1147

717

Will a video on Youtube break the current record for most viewed independent animation pilot before Jan 1st 2027?

Dec 1, 9:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

14.46%chance

201595

OptionVotes

YES

2364

251

Will this Angine de Poitrine video get more views than the number of inhabitants of the Tokyo metro area within a year?

Aug 3, 10:29 AMAug 3, 10:23 AM

37.84%chance

7825

OptionVotes

YES

1496

390

Best Album at 2027 Grammy Award ceremony?

Apr 13, 12:29 PMFeb 1, 11:59 PM

12552

OptionProbability

Phoebe Bridgers, Lost Weekend

Olivia Rodrigo, You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love

Olivia Dean, The Art of Loving

Paul McCartney, The Boys of Dungeon Lane

Raye, This Music May Contain Hope

Other

The Warning, Everything's Falling

Goose, Big Modern!

Hayley Kiyoko, Girls like Girls

Gracie Abrams, Daughter from Hell

Ella Langley, Dandelion

Rosalia, Lux

Mumford & Sons, Prizefighter

Gorillaz, The Mountain

Hillary Duff, Luck. . . Or Something

Yungblud, Idols II

BLACKPINK, DEADLINE

BTS, Arirang

Nine Inch Nails, Nine Inch Noize

Demi Lovato, It's Not That Deep

Foo Fighters, Your Favorite Toy

Jason Aldean, Songs About Us

Ariana Grande, Petal

Flea, Honora

Harry Styles, Kiss All the Time. Disco, Occasionally

Drake, Iceman

Evanescence, Sanctuary

Afroman, Freedom of Speech

M.I.A., M.I.7.

Brandi Carlisle, Returning To Myself

Noah Kahan, The Great Divide

Bruno Mars, The Romantic

Taylor Swift, The Life of a Showgirl

Justin Bieber, Swag II

Rob Thomas, All Night Days

Cardi B, Am I the Drama?

Doja Cat, Vie

Tame Impala, Deadbeat

21 Savage, What Happened to the Streets?

Snow tha Product, Before I Crash Out

NOFX, A to H

Alter Bridge, Alter Bridge

ASAP Rocky, Don't Be Dumb

Nick Jonas, Sunday Best

Charli XCX, Wuthering Heights

Will same-sex marriage become legal in Vietnam before 2030?

Mar 14, 1:11 PMDec 31, 5:59 AM

70.28%chance

18459

OptionVotes

YES

1037

878

Will a YouTube video of/about a Gen-AI film awards ceremony reach 1 million+ views within a year of release by 2030?"

Oct 3, 6:16 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

52.44%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

1050

952

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Prediction markets for Vie

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Who is behind Twitter user @qorrenqial1215?

Will Ice Cream turn out to actually be "healthy" based on consensus view at EOY 2026?

Will an AI generated YouTube video reach 1B views before 2027?

If Rational Animations invites viewers to read LessWrong in a video, how many new users will join LessWrong as a result?

Will Vietnam execute someone for fraud?

Will the first Manifold market to reach 1 million views have 10,000 or more traders before it reaches 1 million views?

In 2028, Will a >5 min video completely generated by an AI have more than 1 billion views on Youtube?

Will a video on Youtube break the current record for most viewed independent animation pilot before Jan 1st 2027?

Will this Angine de Poitrine video get more views than the number of inhabitants of the Tokyo metro area within a year?

Best Album at 2027 Grammy Award ceremony?

Will same-sex marriage become legal in Vietnam before 2030?

Will a YouTube video of/about a Gen-AI film awards ceremony reach 1 million+ views within a year of release by 2030?"

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