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Prediction markets for Virtuals

Will GPT-4 be integrated into mainstream virtual assistant technologies (Alexa or Siri), by 2025?

Jan 15, 2:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50.08%chance

503567

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1080

875

Will there be a virtual state with no physical territory by 2040?

Aug 19, 10:10 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM

24.44%chance

432233

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1641

1132

Will the EU require virtual currency purchases to display real-money equivalents within a year?

Sep 12, 2:35 AMSep 11, 9:59 PM

21.09%chance

7890

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1333

86

A school will integrate a full K-12 curriculum with Roblox, including language classes and virtual field

Sep 10, 3:03 PMSep 8, 3:01 PM

18.11%chance

11836

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1104

960

Will fully realistic virtual reality be developed before 2040?

Mar 17, 1:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

75%chance

13561

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1032

979

Will 25% or more of my virtual work meetings be in VR / AR by 2032?

Nov 8, 6:18 PMDec 31, 8:00 PM

55.5%chance

17514

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1107

903

Will a virtual reality platform host a live event attended by a sitting head of state by 2025?

Mar 7, 6:08 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

39%chance

13412

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1022

981

Will 25% or more of my virtual work meetings be in VR / AR by 2042?

Nov 8, 6:22 PMDec 31, 8:00 PM

62.25%chance

18271

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1002

988

Will Lego sell Virtual Reality construction sets by the end of 2030?

Apr 19, 11:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

53.32%chance

18269

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1004

992

Would over 20% of global fashion revenue come from virtual cosmetics by 2030?

Jun 29, 10:38 PMJan 7, 5:59 AM

43.13%chance

3150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1148

871

Will there be a Zelda: Breath of the Wild adaptation for Virtual Reality by end of 2030?

Jan 7, 7:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.85%chance

13109

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1038

970

Will anyone claim a $250k vulnerability bounty from Apple's Private Cloud Compute Virtual Research Environment by 2028?

Oct 25, 1:11 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.1%chance

2102

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1002

998

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