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Prediction markets for Vision Transformer
Prediction markets for Vision Transformer
Will a lab train a >=1e26 FLOP state space model before the end of 2025?
Dec 11, 1:49 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
15.19%
chance
33
2522
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1989
688
Will "Four visions of Transformative AI success" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Mar 15, 6:24 PM
Feb 1, 12:00 AM
14%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
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