visionOS News

What will be true of a future, simpler version of Apple Vision Pro? [Mega market]

Feb 15, 11:43 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

151987

OptionProbability

Has eye tracking

Has external battery

Has Mac Virtual Display functionality

Comes with only one band, that has a part that goes over the top of your head.

Has built in speakers for audio

Will have a glass front

Sells more than 1 million units in its first year

Priced under $2,000

Has on-device LLM (e.g. through Siri or standalone) integrated

Has "Air" in its name

Primarily made of aluminum

Has an external display (like eyesight)

Is released under another CEO than Tim Cook

Priced under $1000

Will require an iPhone to operate (relies on that for power, compute or storage).

Priced lower than $199

Priced lower than $299

In consumer hands (anywhere) before April 1st 2025

Next VisionOS / Vision Pro device released by end of which month?

Mar 28, 4:35 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

71587

OptionProbability

March 2026

February 2026

January 2026

December 2025

October 2025

November 2025

September 2025

August 2025

July 2025

June 2025

May 2025

March 2025

January 2025

Earlier than 2025

Will most Apple customers use a visionOS interface by 2030?

Feb 4, 3:49 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.83%chance

321454

OptionVotes

YES

1589

849

Will Vision Pro, and other Apple headset models, generate more than $5B revenue in 2025?

Jun 5, 9:34 PMJun 30, 9:59 PM

10%chance

121300

OptionVotes

YES

1794

858

When will Apple release a Vision base model?

Feb 12, 8:20 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

8470

OptionProbability

2026

2025

2027

2028

2029

2030 or later

Never

2024

Will most of Apple's U.S. customers use a visionOS interface by 2030?

Feb 4, 2:21 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

19.35%chance

13428

OptionVotes

YES

1033

714

Will most of Apple's Chinese customers use a visionOS interface by 2030?

Feb 4, 2:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.77%chance

7232

OptionVotes

YES

327

107

visionOS News

Prediction markets for visionOS

Prediction markets for visionOS

Prediction markets for visionOS

What will be true of a future, simpler version of Apple Vision Pro? [Mega market]

Next VisionOS / Vision Pro device released by end of which month?

Will most Apple customers use a visionOS interface by 2030?

Will Vision Pro, and other Apple headset models, generate more than $5B revenue in 2025?

When will Apple release a Vision base model?

Will most of Apple's U.S. customers use a visionOS interface by 2030?

Will most of Apple's Chinese customers use a visionOS interface by 2030?

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