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Prediction markets for Visual Language Models

When will VideoGameBench be mostly saturated?

Apr 22, 5:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

124397

OptionProbability

By the end of 2029

By the end of 2028

By the end of 2027

2030 or later

By the end of 2026

By the end of 2025

68

63

57

32

9

1

Will general purpose AI models beat average score of human players in Diplomacy by 2028?

Sep 20, 8:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

56.2%chance

121292

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1065

901

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