OptionProbability
Nothing happens - strait stays closed, no power plant attacks
Mukesh
Widespread damage to Iran's critical infrastructure by the end of March.
Trump claims he never made an ultimatum
Widespread damage to Gulf critical infrastructure by the end of March.
US hits an Iranian power plant by April
Busehr power plant suffers critical damage
VIX (Volatility Index) closes at or above $30.00 on Monday? (Friday Closed 26.78)
Iran hits a desalination plant by April
WTI Crude Oil >= $100 at market close
S&P500 and Dow Jones both close down on Monday from Fridays Close
Widespread damage to Israel's critical infrastructure by the end of March.
Iran says they will open the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours
A nuclear weapon is used.
75
70
47
41
32
28
24
21
20
10
3
1
OptionVotes
YES
NO
411
100
1226
816
457
150
596
527
