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Prediction markets for VL

Will Lex Fridman interview Vladimir Putin while he is still Russia's president?

Nov 13, 6:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.67%chance

14534799

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3802

1158

Will Joe Biden (born 20 November 1942) outlive Vladimir Putin (born 7 October 1952)?

Mar 31, 9:14 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

19.84%chance

14826834

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7430

6053

Will Vladimir Putin be the leader of Russia at the end of 2027?

Dec 20, 10:54 AMJan 7, 10:59 PM

81.72%chance

6722885

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1848

667

Will Vladimir Putin be President of Russia at the end of 2027?

Apr 30, 5:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.21%chance

8818889

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1708

497

Will Vladimir Putin stop being president of Russia before Volodymyr Zelensky stops being president of Ukraine?

Aug 29, 8:41 PMOct 7, 8:59 PM

18.17%chance

14617860

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3467

1320

Will Vladimir Putin’s death be the result of an assassination?

Jun 15, 6:28 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

31.57%chance

15613404

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1580

959

Will Vladimir Putin be in power at the conclusion of the Russia-Ukraine war?

Nov 11, 3:08 PMJun 1, 12:59 AM

76.41%chance

13210363

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1758

867

Will the VLA15 Lyme Disease vaccine "pass" its phase 3 human trial?

Aug 11, 4:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

62.18%chance

1014255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1805

1467

Will we get AGI before Vladimir Putin stops being the leader of Russia?

Dec 30, 11:12 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

38%chance

663715

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1497

680

Will Vladimir Putin die of natural causes?

Jun 28, 5:44 PMDec 31, 8:59 PM

60.32%chance

1132835

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1647

1345

Will Nikolai Patrushev or Dmitry Patrushev succeed Vladimir Putin as president of Russia?

Jun 17, 10:40 AMDec 31, 8:59 PM

8.86%chance

922399

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3242

1227

Will Russia have a successful peaceful transition of power from Vladimir Putin to the next ruler(s)?

Jul 7, 6:47 PMJul 7, 7:59 PM

55%chance

15674

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1104

960

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