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Who controls Congress after the 2026 Midterms?

Jul 21, 11:47 PMNov 4, 7:59 AM

15182781

OptionProbability

Democrats Sweep

R Senate, D House

Republicans Sweep

D Senate, R House

Other

43

42

14

1

0

Will the Israeli Hamas conflict be described as a genocide in 10 years(2034)

Jan 15, 2:14 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

62%chance

8742716

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1459

520

Will Bougainville be a country by end of 2027? [Showcase: M$10,000 subsidy]

Jan 22, 5:50 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

26.67%chance

11328332

OptionVotes

YES

NO

19342

2399

New Zealand Election 2nd Place (Polymarket)

May 25, 10:25 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

1824339

OptionProbability

National Party

Labour Party

Te Pati Maori

New Zealand First Party

Green Party

ACT New Zealand

Other

60

35

2

2

0

0

0

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

May 18, 11:08 AMJul 31, 11:59 PM

197425

OptionProbability

J.D. Vance

Marco Rubio

Other

Tucker Carlson

Ron DeSantis

Donald Trump Jr.

43

24

23

4

3

3

What will be the most popular way to interact with a portable digital devices in 2030?

Jan 23, 1:24 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

492802

OptionProbability

Touch-screen smartphones

AR/VR glasses

Other technology that WAS already commercialized in 2024

Other technology that was NOT commercialized in 2024

Rabbit-style voice agents

Humane-style pins

Brain computer interfaces

69

22

3

3

1

1

1

Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.

Jul 13, 1:16 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

76.19%chance

191852

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1010

851

SPD above 5% in 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election?

May 7, 2:57 PMSep 6, 11:59 PM

76%chance

151692

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1780

562

Will I consider the next UK General Election "a First Past the Post shitshow"?

Jan 7, 9:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

60.68%chance

131431

OptionVotes

NO

YES

638

201

Vote rigging scandal in UK, CA, Germany, Netherlands, Norway, DK, Sweden, Finland, or Ireland before 2027?

Dec 1, 9:41 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

25.98%chance

271276

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1582

676

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Aug 8, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

31.59%chance

6415

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4357

3816

Where will the 11th U.S. National Eucharistic Congress in 2029 take place?

Dec 12, 4:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Chicago, IL

New Orleans, LA

St. Louis, MO

Los Angeles, CA

Philadelphia, PA

Boston, MA

San Antonio, TX

Atlanta, GA

Denver, CO

Dallas, TX

Other (Comment below for which city - may add to the list)

Other

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

8

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