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Prediction markets for VPN

Will real money prediction markets be legal in the US before 2028?

Mar 6, 9:06 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

60.22%chance

808788

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1182

712

Will X.com be accessible in the UK on 31st March?

Jan 11, 8:01 AMMar 30, 11:59 PM

93.84%chance

268039

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3906

256

Will X.com be accessible in the UK on 30th June?

Jan 11, 8:02 AMJun 29, 11:59 PM

93.43%chance

216569

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3775

265

Will X (Twitter) be banned in Australia in 2026?

Jan 11, 9:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.03%chance

222980

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3176

315

Will any country block themselves from the internet before 2027?

Oct 16, 1:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

86.55%chance

162025

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2439

434

Will the UK Government move to restrict access to VPNs this Parliament?

Aug 20, 5:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.07%chance

101522

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1223

818

Will the U.S. government attempt to restrict VPN usage before January 1st, 2030?

Aug 9, 3:42 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

33.75%chance

31920

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1149

883

Will Michigan HB 4938 (“Anticorruption of Public Morals Act”) become law with its VPN ban intact by the end of 2026?

Nov 23, 11:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.35%chance

3515

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1515

660

Polymarket generally available to UK customers by when?

Dec 7, 10:03 PMJan 1, 10:02 PM

2314

OptionProbability

Before Jan 2028

Before Jul 2027

Before Oct 2027

Before Oct 2026

Before Jan 2027

Before Apr 2027

Before Jul 2026

Before Apr 2026

76

71

71

50

50

50

29

24

Will you be able to use a VPN from a real physical location in Antarctica through Windscribe VPN by the end of 2028?

Jul 23, 4:56 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

25.21%chance

6226

OptionVotes

YES

NO

172

58

By 2030, will there be credible claims that Mullvad VPN logs user activity?

Mar 26, 7:09 AMDec 1, 8:00 AM

21.76%chance

688

OptionVotes

YES

NO

224

116

Kalshi generally available to UK customers by when?

Dec 7, 10:01 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

240

OptionProbability

Before Oct 2026

Before Jan 2027

Before Apr 2027

Before Jul 2027

Before Oct 2027

Before Jan 2028

Before Jul 2026

Before Apr 2026

50

50

50

50

50

50

34

22

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