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Aliens.gov Prop Bets

Mar 18, 2:39 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

18916727

OptionProbability

The site has content before June 1, 2026

The site has content before July 1, 2026

It contains at least some text

The site has content before January 1, 2027

It's completely stupid

It's about extraterrestrial life

contains debunked media of space alien activity

Documents declassified for the first time are on the site

Mention of Roswell on site

Mention of Area 51 on site

it's about immigration

Implies/suggests/states that UFO's are demons.

Is significantly geo-restricted, for example the content cannot be viewed in Europe or some USA states without using a VPN.

By May 1st, 2026, site contents unequivocally state UAP craft exist, but does not unequivocally state non-human intelligence exists

It's about mexicans

Contains AI images or video presented in a way that viewers are supposed to think they're real.

implies race supremacy/ethnocentrism is real (genetic/cultural/preordained)

It's an advert for a product a private company is selling, such as a movie.

The site has content before April 1, 2026

The site has content before May 1, 2026

There is a report that the registration is hacked or otherwise not deliberate by the government

It redirects to another domain before 12:00am EST May 1, 2026 (If no site before deadline, resolves NO.)

It's going to be used for an April fools joke.

It will have its own Wikipedia page by 5/1

It has a cookie consent banner/notice while viewed from any New York state VPN before 12:00am EST May 1, 2026 (If no site before deadline, resolves NO.)

The government, bored of just selling pardons, has moved on to selling ".gov" domain names to 3rd party private organisations and/or individuals, and this is one of those times.

contains debunked media of space alien activity [N/A – start of 2027]

Aliens.gov will be the primary domain

100

Dec 7, 10:03 PMJan 1, 10:02 PM

31213

OptionProbability

Before Jan 2028

Before Jul 2027

Before Oct 2027

Before Apr 2027

Before Jan 2027

Before Oct 2026

Before Jul 2026

Before Apr 2026

Kalshi generally available to UK customers by when?

Dec 7, 10:01 PMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

3950

OptionProbability

Before Apr 2027

Before Jul 2027

Before Oct 2027

Before Jan 2028

Before Jan 2027

Before Oct 2026

Before Jul 2026

Before Apr 2026

Will the U.S. government attempt to restrict VPN usage before January 1st, 2030?

Aug 9, 3:42 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

33.75%chance

31920

OptionVotes

YES

1149

883

Will Michigan HB 4938 (“Anticorruption of Public Morals Act”) become law with its VPN ban intact by the end of 2026?

Nov 23, 11:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.35%chance

3515

OptionVotes

YES

1515

660

Will you be able to use a VPN from a real physical location in Antarctica through Windscribe VPN by the end of 2028?

Jul 23, 4:56 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

25.21%chance

6226

OptionVotes

YES

172

By 2030, will there be credible claims that Mullvad VPN logs user activity?

Mar 26, 7:09 AMDec 1, 8:00 AM

21.76%chance

688

OptionVotes

YES

224

116

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Aliens.gov Prop Bets

Will X.com be accessible in the UK on 30th June?

Will real money prediction markets be legal in the US before 2028?

Will X (Twitter) be banned in Australia in 2026?

Will any country block themselves from the internet before 2027?

Will the UK Government move to restrict access to VPNs this Parliament?

Polymarket generally available to UK customers by when?

Kalshi generally available to UK customers by when?

Will the U.S. government attempt to restrict VPN usage before January 1st, 2030?

Will Michigan HB 4938 (“Anticorruption of Public Morals Act”) become law with its VPN ban intact by the end of 2026?

Will you be able to use a VPN from a real physical location in Antarctica through Windscribe VPN by the end of 2028?

By 2030, will there be credible claims that Mullvad VPN logs user activity?

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