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Prediction markets for VR

Will 30% of video game players be using a VR headset of some sort to play video games by 2030?

Nov 21, 2:58 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.46%chance

453948

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1514

818

Linux Desktop surpasses >10% marketshare before >10% of US population use VR daily.

Aug 3, 10:51 AMAug 11, 4:59 AM

58.51%chance

231657

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1188

842

Will I use VR computer monitors for 25%+ of my work screentime by 2027?

Nov 4, 3:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.12%chance

27990

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1123

884

Will a human control in real time a humanoid robot on the surface of Mars before 2040 using VR technology?

Apr 22, 2:06 AMJan 5, 3:59 PM

30%chance

10988

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1101

424

Apple releases more than 3 VR / AR headsets before 2031

Jan 23, 3:31 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

73%chance

23680

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1093

677

How many people will live in coffins with VR headsets in 2035

Apr 18, 10:52 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

28.9%chance

12542

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1439

720

Will 25% or more of my virtual work meetings be in VR / AR by 2032?

Nov 8, 6:18 PMDec 31, 8:00 PM

55.5%chance

17514

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1107

903

Will there be new federal US regulation for the consumption of VR pornography before 2030?

Jan 15, 1:34 AMJan 1, 6:29 PM

15.98%chance

17417

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1279

922

Will a VR video game make the Wikipedia "best of all time" list by 2030?

Nov 8, 8:36 AMDec 31, 8:00 PM

70.44%chance

17348

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1079

958

Will Nintendo release an open world Legend of Zelda-related game made specifically for VR by the end of 2030?

Nov 28, 12:06 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

15.34%chance

13338

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1151

955

Will 25% or more of my virtual work meetings be in VR / AR by 2042?

Nov 8, 6:22 PMDec 31, 8:00 PM

62.25%chance

18271

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1002

988

What will be the next Apple VR headset's starting price?

Jul 1, 9:08 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

9180

OptionProbability

$1500-$1999.99

$1000-$1499.99

$2000-$2499.99

$500-$999.99

$2500-$2999.99

$3000-$3499.99

$3500-$3999.99

$0-$499.99

$4000+

35

29

13

7

4

4

4

2

2

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