OptionVotes
YES
NO
9950
101
OptionProbability
Starship
New Glenn
Vulcan
None will ever launch with humans
56
35
5
4
Not by end of 2025
First half of 2024
Second half of 2024
2025
99
0
<= 2
<= 4
<= 6
<= 8
<= 10
<= 12
> 12
1
Above 0
Above 5
Above 10
Above 15
Above 25
Above 20
Above 30
96
83
30
9
8
7
125
80
110
91