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Prediction markets for WAL

Will Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?

Mar 23, 7:19 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

49.62%chance

41389271

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11247

10473

By EOY 2026, will it seem as if deep learning hit a wall by EOY 2025?

Nov 17, 12:46 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13.08%chance

20751265

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3275

1301

Will a human walk on the moon again before 2030?

Apr 9, 2:06 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

63.95%chance

23248044

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2421

1531

Will Elon Musk ever walk on Mars?

Mar 24, 7:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.32%chance

14135138

OptionVotes

YES

NO

19036

9645

Will David Austin Walsh get a tenure track offer?

May 27, 10:51 PMSep 1, 6:59 AM

9.67%chance

3334442

OptionVotes

YES

NO

24552

8343

Will the first person to walk on Mars make it back to Earth?

Mar 26, 4:52 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

77.3%chance

17224053

OptionVotes

NO

YES

14849

8064

Will a human walk on the moon again before 2029?

Apr 9, 2:06 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

31.46%chance

14623661

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2734

650

Will Barack Obama be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?

Mar 23, 7:21 PMMar 30, 7:21 PM

50.94%chance

543008

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2066

1904

Will a dog walk on Mars before the first baby is born on Mars?

Mar 27, 6:36 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

62.52%chance

391835

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2184

1848

Will a dog walk on Mars before the end of 2060?

Mar 26, 5:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

44.76%chance

261378

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2169

1823

Will Wales leave the United Kingdom before 2050?

Aug 23, 9:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15%chance

9276

OptionVotes

YES

NO

211

145

Will Wales decide to leave the UK by 2040?

Apr 2, 9:48 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

26%chance

11229

OptionVotes

YES

NO

389

221

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