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Prediction markets for war

Will Ukraine win the Russo-Ukrainian War?

Jan 10, 7:15 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.92%chance

534216045

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4193

1174

When will the 2023 Israel Hamas war end? (Longer)

May 3, 10:57 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

95129584

OptionProbability

Jan - Jun 2026

Other

Jul - Dec 2026

Jan - Jun 2025

Jul - Dec 2025

Jan - Jun 2024

Jul - Dec 2024

44

39

15

1

1

0

0

Will Ukraine lose the Donbas region at the end of the Russo-Ukrainian war

Apr 8, 3:00 AMMay 15, 3:59 AM

47.5%chance

178118894

OptionVotes

YES

NO

957

954

At the end of the war, will Ukraine control any territory they didn’t control at the start?

Nov 12, 11:10 AMJun 1, 12:59 AM

12.23%chance

28999888

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5948

652

Will there be a civil war in the United States before 2030?

Aug 26, 3:21 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

11%chance

18475844

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1431

1254

Death toll in Israel-Hamas war - Israeli Side

Oct 8, 6:14 AMJun 1, 6:59 AM

31274146

OptionProbability

1500-2500

2500-3500

5000+

1000-1500

3500-5000

0-500

500-1000

85

10

2

1

1

0

0

In how many months from the the 1 of January 2025 will the Russo-Ukraine war end.

Feb 27, 9:30 PMFeb 1, 10:59 PM

4063882

OptionProbability

Above 0

Above 3

Above 6

Above 9

Above 12

Above 15

Above 18

Above 24

100

100

100

100

100

94

75

63

Will the war in Ukraine end before 2027?

Dec 30, 6:10 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

36.15%chance

12028659

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2871

1104

Will the Gaza death toll be over 150,000 at the end of the Israel-Hamas war

Mar 31, 11:32 AMJun 1, 5:59 AM

39%chance

6226670

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1128

658

Will a nuclear war wipe out humanity by 2030?

Jul 5, 12:06 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

2%chance

6926268

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3176

1553

Will the ICJ determine that Israel committed war crimes in Gaza?

Jan 3, 7:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

91.75%chance

11415027

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6505

428

[ACX 2026] Will there be a ceasefire in the Sudanese Civil War during 2026?

Jan 6, 10:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.5%chance

8201

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5180

4868

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