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Prediction markets for Waymo

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?

Jun 11, 5:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.5%chance

5621045650

OptionVotes

YES

NO

46103

2172

When will Waymo offer SF-LA rides?

Nov 13, 6:44 PMJan 1, 6:38 PM

2285402

OptionProbability

2027

Aug 1 2026 - Jan 1 2027

Before EOY

Jan 1 2026 - Apr 1 2026

Apr 1 2026 - Aug 1 2026

95

2

1

1

1

Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?

Jan 3, 9:53 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

69.37%chance

8025385

OptionVotes

NO

YES

15021

6674

Waymo reaches 2 billion miles with three or fewer at-fault fatalities?

Sep 27, 1:10 AMJan 2, 2:08 AM

75.94%chance

155444

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1778

563

Waymo handles Denver snow?

Sep 6, 1:39 PMApr 1, 1:28 PM

42.12%chance

382113

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1172

853

Waymo in Portland in 2026?

Jun 16, 7:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.52%chance

121786

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2628

105

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2027?

Sep 2, 8:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.43%chance

121750

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4095

1814

Can the public ride in a waymo or similar in Dec 2027 in NYC?

Apr 11, 2:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.32%chance

101563

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1813

551

A Chinese company will surpass Waymo in total global robotaxi fleet size in 2026

Jan 2, 7:42 AMJan 9, 7:59 AM

70.73%chance

121137

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1554

643

Waymo public rides in Munich by end of 2027?

Aug 25, 7:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.87%chance

7771

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1086

920

Waymo achieves aviation-grade safety at 2 billion miles with 0 at-fault fatalities?

Sep 27, 7:46 AMJan 1, 8:45 AM

52.83%chance

5546

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1058

945

Waymo available at Rio Rancho City Hall End of 2028

Dec 12, 9:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.14%chance

5527

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1420

704

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