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Prediction markets for Waymo

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?

Jun 11, 5:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.53%chance

524815019

OptionVotes

YES

NO

35075

2855

When will Waymo offer SF-LA rides?

Nov 13, 6:44 PMJan 1, 6:38 PM

2057376

OptionProbability

2027

Aug 1 2026 - Jan 1 2027

Apr 1 2026 - Aug 1 2026

Jan 1 2026 - Apr 1 2026

Before EOY

86

7

4

2

1

Will Tesla have more autonomous vehicles providing ridehailing than Waymo on Jan 2nd 2027

Jun 25, 10:30 AMJan 2, 11:59 PM

25%chance

8723464

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1733

578

Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?

Jan 3, 9:53 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

65.89%chance

657750

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13869

7225

Waymo available in European Union before 2027?

Apr 16, 6:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43.84%chance

232720

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1132

884

Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from SFO airport pickup/dropoff/terminal area by the end of 2026?

Sep 17, 8:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

55.34%chance

172393

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1113

898

Waymo serves the general public in Washington, D.C. before 2027?

Mar 25, 4:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.9%chance

252221

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1275

784

Waymo handles Denver snow?

Sep 6, 1:39 PMApr 1, 1:28 PM

34.25%chance

371955

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1386

722

Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from LAX airport by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 10:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50.6%chance

71088

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1012

988

Can the public ride in a waymo or similar in Dec 2027 in NYC?

Apr 11, 2:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.4%chance

8813

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1215

823

Waymo achieves aviation-grade safety at 2 billion miles with 0 at-fault fatalities?

Sep 27, 7:46 AMJan 1, 8:45 AM

52.83%chance

5546

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1058

945

A Chinese company will surpass Waymo in total global robotaxi fleet size in 2026

Jan 2, 7:42 AMJan 9, 7:59 AM

59.67%chance

9426

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1216

822

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