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Prediction markets for Waymo

Tesla has more fully autonomous rides than Waymo in 2026?

Jun 11, 5:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.37%chance

5551020252

OptionVotes

YES

NO

33103

3025

When will Waymo offer SF-LA rides?

Nov 13, 6:44 PMJan 1, 6:38 PM

2285402

OptionProbability

2027

Aug 1 2026 - Jan 1 2027

Before EOY

Jan 1 2026 - Apr 1 2026

Apr 1 2026 - Aug 1 2026

95

2

1

1

1

Will Tesla have more autonomous vehicles providing ridehailing than Waymo on Jan 2nd 2027

Jun 25, 10:30 AMJan 2, 11:59 PM

12%chance

11580979

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2709

369

Will Waymo One expand its SF Bay Area service area to Marin County by December 31, 2026?

Jan 3, 9:53 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

44.2%chance

6912128

OptionVotes

YES

NO

11266

8870

Waymo available in European Union before 2027?

Apr 16, 6:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.1%chance

283112

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1524

656

Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from SFO airport pickup/dropoff/terminal area by the end of 2026?

Sep 17, 8:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.24%chance

182595

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

909

Waymo handles Denver snow?

Sep 6, 1:39 PMApr 1, 1:28 PM

42.12%chance

382113

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1172

853

Waymo in Portland in 2026?

Jun 16, 7:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.93%chance

121217

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2078

182

Will Waymo give public driverless rides to/from LAX airport by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 10:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

49.99%chance

81100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Can the public ride in a waymo or similar in Dec 2027 in NYC?

Apr 11, 2:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.62%chance

101002

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1374

728

Waymo achieves aviation-grade safety at 2 billion miles with 0 at-fault fatalities?

Sep 27, 7:46 AMJan 1, 8:45 AM

52.83%chance

5546

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1058

945

Waymo available at Rio Rancho City Hall End of 2028

Dec 12, 9:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.14%chance

5527

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1420

704

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