Weathering With You News

(JAP) Red flag during Qualyfing session

[BAH] Safety car during the race

[BAH] Yuki Tsunoda scores points

[BAH] Bearman scores points

[SAU] Safety Car during the race

[SAU] Tsunoda makes it into Q3

[SAU] Leclerc will get top 4 in the race

[MIA] Norris qualifies ahead of Piastri (main race qualifying)

[MIA] Non-Mclaren pole in Sprint Qualifying

[MIA] Piastri finishes ahead of Norris in GP

[MIA] Williams double points in the main GP

[MIA] Over 3.5 Drivers DNF in the main race

[MIA] Both McLaren on the podium

[IMO] Physical Safety Car during the race

[IMO] Max Verstappen Podium Finish

[IMO] Colapinto replaces Doohan in at least one session

[IMO] Piastri qualifies ahead of Norris

[IMO] Tsunoda scores point(s)

[MON] Red Flag during Qualifying

[MON] Pole Sitter wins the race

[MON] At least one impeding penalty during qualifying

[MON] 4+ pit stops in the first 5 laps

[MON] Norris scores more points than Piastri

[MON] Yellow flag on the 1st lap of the race

[MON] Both Ferraris finish in top 5

[SPA] Both Ferraris reach Q3

[SPA] McLaren Pole Position

[SPA] McLaren 1-2 (race)

[CAN] Physical Safety Car during the race

[CAN] Red Flag during Qualifying

[CAN] Stroll starts the race

[CAN] Impeding penalty during Qualifying (at least 1)

[CAN] Mercedes Podium

[CAN] Hulkenberg finishes in top 10

[CAN] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton

[AUT] Physical Safety Car during the race

[AUT] Yellow flag first lap

[AUT] Bortoleto reaches Q3

[AUT] McLaren 1-2

[AUT] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton

[AUT] Bortoleto finishes top 10

[GBR] Yellow Flag first lap

[GBR] Physical Safety Car during the race

[GBR] McLaren 1-2 (race)

[GBR] Non-McLaren pole position

[GBR] VSR virtual safety car during the race.

[GBR] Gasly finishes in top 10

[BEL] Physical Safety Car during the main race

[BEL] McLaren double podium (main race)

[BEL] Intermediate or wet weather tyres needed for the main race

[BEL] A Ferrari driver doesn't reach Q3 (main race qualifying)

[BEL] Bortoleto reaches Q3 (main race qualifying)

[BEL] Leclerc podium (main race)

[BEL] Bortoleto in the top 10 (main race)

[BEL] Hamilton top 10 (main race)

[HUN] McLaren 1-2 in the race

[HUN] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton in the race

[HUN] Antonelli finishes in the points

[HUN] Bortoleto finishes in the points

[HUN] Both Aston Martins score points

[HUN] Leclerc is in first position at the end of lap 1

Leave it open for upcoming GP

[MIA] Safety car in the main race

[BEL] Yellow flag first lap (main race)

(JAP) Safety car during the race

(JAP) A rookie crashes and cannot finish the race (technical problems at the gearbox, power unit etc. won't count, it needs to be a crash)

(JAP) Yuki Tsunoda scores points

[JAP] Lawson finishes ahead of Tsunoda

[BAH] Lawson finishes ahead of Tsunoda

[BAH] Ferrari on the podium (at least 1 driver)

[SAU] Mercedes podium (at least 1 driver)

[SAU] McLaren double podium

[SAU] Bearman scores points

[MIA] 🇮🇹 Kimi Antonelli wins the sprint race

[MIA] 🟥 Red flag during main race qualifying

[MIA] Antonelli on the Podium

[IMO] Piastri scores more points than Norris

[IMO] Leclerc finishes ahead of Hamilton (race)

[IMO] Aston Martin both drivers score points

[MON] Physical Safety Car during the race

[MON] Both Mercedes score points (i.e. top 10)

[SPA] Virtual Safety Car during the race

[SPA] Yellow flag first lap

[SPA] Tsunoda goes into Q3

[SPA] Sauber reaches Q3 (at least one driver)

[SPA] someone receives a penalty for obstructing during qualifying

[SPA] Tsunoda finishes in top 10 (race)

[SPA] Hamilton finishes ahead of Leclerc (race)

[SPA] Bortoleto finishes in top 10 (race)

[CAN] Yellow flag first lap

[CAN] Tsunoda reaches Q3

[CAN] Both Williams reach Q3

[CAN] Williams scores over 5.5 WCC points

[AUT] 3 different teams on the podium

[AUT] Tsunoda reaches Q3

[AUT] Stroll reaches Q3

[AUT] Impeding penalty during qualifying

[AUT] Williams scores points (at least one driver)

[AUT] Verstappen penalty for forcing another driver off the track or a collision.

[GBR] Both HAAS cars finish in the points (top 10)

[GBR] Tsunoda reaches Q3

[GBR] Williams reaches Q3 (at least 1 driver)

[GBR] At least one Ferrari on the podium

[GBR] Bearman finishes in top 10

[GBR] At least one Mercedes on the podium

[BEL] Two or more cars DNF (main race)

[BEL] Ferrari in top 3 in the Sprint Qualifying (at least 1 driver)

[BEL] McLaren 1-2 in the Sprint race

[BEL] Verstappen gets a penalty in either the sprint or main race

[BEL] Leclerc on the podium in the sprint race

[BEL] Red flag during qualifying (for the main race)

[BEL] main race is cancelled/aborted

[HUN] Physical Safety Car during the race

[HUN] Impeding penalty during qualifying (at least 1)

[HUN] Tsunoda reaches Q3

[HUN] Yellow flag first lap

For at least one day, the model was generally available to anyone in the United States willing to pay enough without waiting lists or "beta" programs

It is discussed during a segment of "HatGPT"

By default, the generated videos will be watermarked

A competing model has challenged Sora's dominance in the text-to-video space

A poll of Manifold users will say that 20% or less have made a Sora video in the last month

OpenAI will be sued over the model

It was trained on data created in a physics/game engine (eg Unreal Engine)

A post claiming Sora video is real will go viral with > 1 million engagements

It will be noticeably worse at or largely unable to generate fast-paced animation

A second major version of the model has been released

A video produced by the model has been used for widely spread misinformation, as reported by a major news outlet

It has been referenced in a legal case about deepfakes

costs for an average 1 minute HD (or higher quality) video will be lower than $0.50

A major studio will use this in a movie or tv show

It can be used during conversations with ChatGPT on the OpenAI website

It prompts the Hard Fork Podcast to rant about AI model names

Video will include sound

A youtube video made only with Sora will get > 100M views

It will be jailbroken to make a porn video

It will be pay-per-use (or credit based) as opposed to as part of a monthly subscription

it'll be legaly banned in at least one EU country

A youtube movie >2h will be made with only Sora and splicing videos together will get > 10M views

At least 2 Manifold questions will contain a Sora-generated video in their header

Sora will be part of GPT model

It will be the most popular text to video tool (determined by google search trends)

Public access was revoked after release, even if it is later restored

There will be a new monthly subscription that includes sora and dalle for creatives

It has been integrated as a feature on a major social media platform

It can generate videos over 10 minutes long

It will be the SOTA for text to video

It has a logo separate from the OpenAI logo

It has been renamed

It will be free to use

A poll of Manifold users will say that 30% or more have created a Sora video in the last month

The model has had a non-trivial effect on the everday life of the average American, as judged by @Bayesian

It can create a fully coherent short film from a prompt (20-40 minutes)

The Sora line of models proves to be useful for purposes where the video is secondary, such as research into physics, medicine, and weather

A third major version of the model has been released

OpenAI will release the number of model parameters

Full description of model architecture will be public

Eliezer Yudkowsky states or implies that future versions of the Sora line of models - specifically, by name - are an existential threat to civilization

The Sora line of models are being used as simulators for legal investigations - including but not limited to predicting events leading to accidents and crimes

A version of the model was the cause of the YES resolution of the "Weak AGI" Metaculus market

OpenAI will lose a lawsuit over the model

Eliezer Yudkowsky has stated or implied that the current version or an obsolete version of the model poses or had posed an existential threat to civilization

A nyt bestselling author will release their own bestseller movie/tv adaptation using sora

Imane Khelif is intersex

The Jews control at least one nation's government

The P320 pistol has a design flaw allowing it to fire without pulling the trigger

Orgies by the wealthy elite as portrayed in 'Eyes Wide Shut'.

DHMO in the water supply

Osama bin Laden didn't act alone

Santa is rigged

That motherfucker WAS real (Tiffany Gomas was wrong the whole time)

Orgies by the fucked-up poors as portrayed in "Eyes Wide Shut XXX" (2013)

The 1% promoted culture wars to distract from class war

√-1 isn't real

Atrazine works as an endocrine-disrupting chemical (EDC), converting testosterone to estrogen in the bodies of frogs leading to homosexual proclivities.

Smartphones listen in on private conversations

US security services use the Google Play Store as an attack vector for android devices

Ticketmaster is in cahoots with organized scalpers

Smart devices are almost always listening to your private conversations

Lionel Messi never played for a Real football (soccer) team

Groundhog Day is rigged

That stock trading AI supposedly built by @SteveSokolowski is actually part of an elaborate scam

The NBA rigs the draft lottery

Joe/Hunter Biden took bribe to protect Burisma from investigation

John McAfee didn't kill himself

The UK security services are complicit in the coverup of a significant underage sex scandal closely linked to the monarchy, taking place in the UK in the period 1975-2015

Dead Internet theory

Some answers in this market are psyops to discredit all the others

At least one UN recognised country is secretly controlled by a cabal following a religion shared by <5% of the country's population

The CCP is directly supporting drug cartel activity in the West

Annie Altman's abuse claims

Dream faked the Manhunt videos

The New Zealand government had advance knowledge of the sinking of the Rainbow Warrior

An adversary is intentionally causing hysteria over drone incidents to force the US/UK's hand into revealing their anti-drone tech

@strutheo is @notrickspringfield

Human didnt evolve from apes

Eating your veggies is bad for your health

There are devices which have been used to alter the electric network frequency of a country in the Middle East to leave more identifiable traces in recorded video and audio clips

At least 3 of the members elected to the French lower house of Parliament in 2024 are Russian agents

Bielefeld does not exist, but another city with the same name in the same place does

This one makes me feel evil, so I ROT13'd it, use ROT13 to decode if you want to keep me company in Hell: Ybh Truevt'f ergverzrag jnf npghnyyl na ZYO-znaqngrq fhfcrafvba

The CCP has a plan to exterminate a large number of people they consider to not be ethnically Chinese

The US/UK/French security services are sinking Russian ships in response to attacks on undersea cables and other hybrid warfare activities (since 2022)

Deepwater Horizon explosion due to sabotage

The Obamas have a loveless marriage, kept together for optics only

Rory Stewart worked for MI6

The CIA killed JFK

Gamergate was right

The US, UK and French security services have collectively assassinated at least 10 German citizens in Germany since 2022

Trump committed sex offenses against minors on Epstein Island

Tiffany Gomas is not the same person as the TMINR lady in the video. She is a PSYOP for Barstool.

FDR deliberately left Pearl Harbor vulnerable, in order to goad Americans into war

As of June 2025, JD Vance is secretly making plans to use future ASI to sieze power and become eternal world dictator

Shakespeare didn’t write his own plays

My dog went to live on farm that was full of other dogs that he could run with and play with and he was much happier than staying with us and peeing on the rug.

Members of US government had prior knowledge of 9/11 and let it happen

Germany has a well-prepared plan (in 2024-) to start mass producing nuclear weapons in <6 months (in case things go bad geopolitically)

Youssoufa Moukoko (soccer player) was born earlier than he claims (earlier than 2004)

China made covid 19 in a lab

A pharma company has a much better treatment for cancer that they are keeping secret because it would compete with their existing products

Michael Jordan's first NBA retirement was actually a forced suspension.

Hellenistic science advanced meta-thermodynamics to derive 𝑄 = 𝑛𝐶Δ𝑇(1 + 𝐻⊙⋆) using the Holtzman Generator

Bitcoin was created by a US three letter agency

lɐǝɹ ʇ,usᴉ ɐᴉlɐɹʇsn∀

The U.S. military is the number one customer of Glitterex (a glitter company) but doesn't want anyone to know because it hurts their masculine image.

Eliezer wrote The Erogamer

Many vaccines on the standard CDC childhood immunization schedule have serious negative side effects (net negative on health) for at least 5% of the population.

Hellenistic scientists could derive the correct refraction law by minimizing light travel time

Dominic Cummings was/is a Russian spy

Elon Musk used Starlink to rig the 2024 election

Circa 1920 civilizational collapse (c.f. "Whither Tartaria?")

Marilyn Manson had a rib removed in the late 1990s

Charles Manson had a rib removed in the late 1990s

Non-human intelligence affecting events on Earth is not extraterrestrial "aliens," and humans are incorrect in believing that reality consists only of the Universe.

Hellenistic science developed statistical mechanics to the point of being able to derive PV=nRT

The Hellenistic civilization was aware of the existence of Azeroth

The Hawk Tuah meme is a North Korean psyop

Sue Gray was a spy

Harold Holt murdered

Finno-Korean Hyperwar was real

The American govt is actually a totalitarian dictatorship

Jeffrey Epstein didn't kill himself

Ogopogo and the Yeti faked their relationship (to boost CFL ratings, to increase Taylor Swift's movie sales, support Trudeau's reelection, b/c Ogopogo is PSY, etc.)

Aluminum cookware actually *does* cause Alzheimers.

The Romance languages are not descended from Classical Latin

The 1% promoted class war to distract from culture wars

The hellenistic civilization was aware of the existence of the American continent

The pharma industry has a better version of Viagra that they keep secret to keep their profits up

"Geoterrorism" (weather modification for terrorism) is real as of 2024

Princess Diana was assassinated

US security services asked Microsoft to buy Skype and alter the software so they could target users more easily

Biden and/or US govt did Jan 6 (exclude trump)

A cure for cancer has already been found

The Clintons assasinated their rivals

The NBA rigged Shaq's free throws

Jet fuel *can* melt steel beams, but the official 9/11 narrative is sus because chemtrail chemicals cannot

The NFL is rigged

Hellenistic science knew of quantum mechanics

South Korea has had nuclear weapons since 2023

Xi Jinping had advance knowledge of the Hawk Tuah meme

Walt Disney was cryogenically frozen, and they made the movie Frozen so that when people googled 'Walt Disney Frozen' the movie would come up first

Lee Harvey Oswald didn't act alone.

Mossad uses Hellenistic technology borrowed from the North Sentinelese

Hellenistic scientists could derive the correct warp-induced refraction law by exceeding Warp Factor 9 under Cochrane’s Theorem

Covid was a deliberate test of pandemic preparedness in view of bacteriological war between China and the US

Ogopogo is real

A support network of close friendships is bad for your health

Israel killed JFK

Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce faked their relationship (to boost NFL ratings, to increase Tay's movie sales, legitimize mRNA vaccines, b/c she is a PSYOP, etc.)

Shakespeare is not real - they claim he was married to Anne Hathaway but she's like only 40 or so

Exercise is bad for your health

Skin cancer is caused by a lack of melanin, regardless of sunlight exposure

covid-19 vaccine is net negative for health for people who are under 35, with no aggravating condition, and not obese

Bitcoin was created by a 3 letter Hellenistic agency

COVID-19 vaccine is net negative for health

Allen Iverson invented A.I.

The government iodizes the water and fluoridates salt when it should be the other way around

QR codes are satanic

Mossad releases video and audio clips, intended to be of interest to their adversaries, which play special sounds that humans don't notice

China purposely spread covid 19 having intended it to escape the lab

QAnon

Getting 8 hours of sleep is bad for your health

Tom Brady's retirement was actually an NFL mandated suspension

Hitler killed himself because the alternative was going to Argentina

Jerry Sandusky is innocent.

Lee Harvey Oswald was an agent of the Hellenistic Civilization

South Sudan has had nukes since 2023

Famous Israeli agent Eisseberg was behind the sinking of the Titanic

xkcd 690: on 9/11, one of the towers was hit by a plane and the other was a controlled demolition

Airplane trails have toxic chemicals (chemtrails)

@HenriThunberg was paid to create the James Bond market to promote the upcoming movie

Marilyn Monroe had a rib removed in the late 1990s

Rationalussy isn't real.

Skin cancer is caused by sunblock, not sunlight

Chinese people really *are* just saying the n-word.

Tupac is still alive in 2024

Bielefeld does not exist

The Hellenistic Civilization made COVID-19 in a lab

The North Sentinelese have a non-secret aircraft carrier, they have announced it to the world loud and clear. Problem is: nobody speaks their language.

US government is harboring aliens

Bush did 9/11

Monica Lewinsky was a Mossad agent

Effective Altruism is a scam and they just embezzle all the donations

The Mandella Effect in general is real

The North Sentinelese have a secret aircraft carrier

Hurricane Katrina caused by HAARP

The 2020 US presidential election was rigged/stolen

The CIA killed Tupac, and JFK is still alive as of 2024

carbon dioxide isn't the main cause of global warming

China was not genociding Uyghurs

You personally live in Truman Show style captivity

The Romance languages are not descended from Latin

The illuminati runs the world

*All* health care is net negative for health

Birds aren't real

climate change isn't human caused

Michelle Obama is a man

Jeffrey Epstein is still alive

Tiger Woods is a militant separatist Tamil

Brazilian money is not real

The Hellenistic civilization invented USB

The North Sentinelese are remnants of the Hellenistic civilization

Yeti is real or similar creature

The earth is a dodecahedron

Climate change isn’t real

Skibidi Toilet is real

Q is Putin

It used to be spelled Berenstein Bears

Africa isn't real

Christiano Ronaldo never played for a Real football (soccer) team

There is no female orgasm

The North Sentinelese are concealing super-advanced technology.

The earth is flat

Hitler didn't kill himself he went to Argentina

*All* vaccines are net negative for health

The moon landing was fake

End of the world in 2012

Earth is hollow

Justin Trudeau is actually Black and has been wearing "whiteface" all along.

Finland isn't real

Australia isn't real.

5G will kill all vaccinated people once the towers are switched on

Nuclear weapons have never existed

Flossing is bad for your health

Brushing your teeth is bad for your health

HIV doesn’t cause AIDS

Taylor Swift and Mary Berg are the same person

The Epcot sphere was built by aliens as some sort of energy device powering the rat empire.

Twomad

O. J. Simpson

Anita Bryant

James D. Worley

Thomas Eugene Creech

Raul Castro

William James Pye

Scott Adams (Dilbert Cartoonist)

Yaroslav Hunka

Jose Luis Ricon

Clarence Thomas

Robert Bowers (Pittsburgh synagogue gunman)

Dennis Rader (btk)

Milan Panić

Bill Cosby

Dick Cheney

Mitch McConnell

David Berkowitz (son of sam)

Joe Arpaio

Ron Jeremy

Mike Tyson

King Charles III

Tomiichi Murayama

Gary Glitter

Noam Chomsky

Clint Eastwood

William Bill Post (inventor of poptart)

Mahmoud Abbas

Clarence Thomas

George Bush

Paul McCartney

Brett Kavanaugh

Judge Judy Sheindlin

Vladimir Putin

Donald Trump

Benjamin Netanyahu

Charles E. Grassley

Anwar Raslan

Howard Stern

Alan Greenspan

Bruce Willis

Samuel Alito

Woody Allen

Roman Polanski

Klaus Schwab

Akihito

Slavoj Zizek

Ringo Starr

Joe Biden

Nancy Pelosi

Ban Ki-moon

Keith Richards

Ethel Kennedy

Tippi Hendren

Dan Schneider

Matt Groening

Mel Brooks

William Shatner

Meryl Streep

Thomas Pynchon

Toby Keith

Volodymyr Zelensky

Warren Buffett

Bernie Sanders

Joe Pesci

Al Pacino

Neil Gorsuch

Bill Clinton

Dick van Dyke

Angela Merkel

Stephen Breyer

Pope Francis

Larry David

Bob Dylan

Gene Hackman

George RR Martin

Bill Gates

Amy Coney Barrett

Jimmy Carter

Alexei Navalny

Iris Apfel

Carl Weathers

Richard Lewis

Kelvin Kiptum

Juan Vicente Perez

Bob Moore

Sebastián Piñera

Daniel Kahneman

Cascading failure (like something went wrong and the recovery procedure had an issue that made it worse)

Loss of synchronism

Strain on electrical/transmission infrastructure principally caused by renewable energy sources

Low or insufficient inertia

Battery storage

Renewables made the grid less stable

Never found root cause

Accidental infrastructure damage (fallen tower, wildlife, etc)

Bad weather

The cause didn't originate in Spain (was propagated by EU grid)

Intended infrastructure damage (cable cut, bomb, etc)

It's declared a cyber attack

Cyber attack & Russia-funded

Cyber attack & independent group

"Intern plugged wrong cable"

Department of Education

Transportation Security Administration (TSA)

Federal Statistical Agencies

Freddie Mac

National Weather Service

Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA)

Internal Revenue Service

Public Broadcasting Service (PBS)

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)

National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB)

National Institutes of Health

Ginnie Mae

Consumer Financial Protection Bureau

Bureau of Alcohol, Firearms, and Tobacco

National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA)

National Park Service (NPS)

Fannie Mae

Small Business Administration

Federal Bureau of Investigations

The Supreme Court

United States Agency for International Development (USAID)

US Postal Service

Steven Greer's claims that zero point energy technology has existed since the 50s and could produce abundant free energy for all, but has been kept hidden from the public because it would make oil obsolete.

imports of luxury vehicles have increased to Ukraine. Even many Rolex sellers in Kyiv

Biden voted for trump

There are 100 million illegal immigrants in the US

The COVID-19 Pandemic was a planned event to control populations or was intentionally created by entities like bill gates for depopulation or profit from vaccines

The 2020 election was “rigged”: see description for further resolution criteria

Technologies such as HAARP are a way to disable nuclear ballistic missiles in flight

Technologies, such as HAARP, are being used with a large impact to control weather patterns or cause natural disasters for political or economic gain

5G cellular networks were intentionally developed to create health issues or mind control.

Bird strike

Pilot error

Maintenance issue

Design issue

Wikipedia

Amazon

Youtube

Baidu

Microsoft.com

Linkedin

Microsoft365

Microsoft Office

Google

Whatsapp

Pornhub

Reddit

Samsung Electronics

Netflix

Weather Channel

Instagram

Pinterest

Facebook

Microsoft Bing

Tiktok

Microsoft Outlook

Discord

Telegram

DuckDuckGo

OpenAI

Twitch

eBay

Roblox

Twitter

Yahoo

Zoom

Xvideos

Yahoo Japan

Zen News

xHamster

Naver

Bilibili

Turbo pages

Max

xHamster.desi

QQ

Globo

XNXX

Docomo

Yandex Search

VK

Fandom

Sharepoint

Mail.ru

Pilot error

Mechanical problem or other technical malfunction

Cargo load shift

Sabotage or terrorism (from non-crew), including explosives in cargo

Windshear or similar adverse weather conditions

Fuel problem

Engine problem

Deliberate action of crew

Weather Forecaster

Entertainment

Sex

Other

Therapy

There will be nothing that satisfies the criteria for highly-interactive reflective e-celebrity AI

Politics

Science

Career

Education

Coaching

Community

Mechanical issue

Pilot error

Software bug

Weather