Web News

Will Fortnite or Roblox run in a web browser before Jan 1st 2027?

Jul 2, 7:20 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

68.61%chance

246274

OptionVotes

YES

1500

629

Which project will become the next web? (ie, replacing http/html/js)

Nov 20, 12:03 AMApr 4, 11:59 AM

243255

OptionProbability

The web will not substantially improve before 2032

WeChat

Appflowy

Agregore Browser

There wont be one next web. Web browsers of the future will run many protocols, competently, which are fairly well integrated, and for which there is no obvious general purpose winner

Orca Sandbox or something derived from it

The current web will reform before a transition can occur

Ad4m

Brave Browser

Replit

Something from Epic Games

Anytype

Logseq

Horizon Worlds

Modular Web

Playbit

VRChat

Discord

Flutter

Welkin

Gopher

Fuchsia OS

The Zed editor

emacs

World App (the one with the orbs)

X.com

roblox

Will a non-Chromium based web browser be the most popular browser by the end of 2028?

Oct 11, 5:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.09%chance

143184

OptionVotes

YES

3619

276

Google deploys ads in Gemini web or mobile app by end of 2026

Jan 8, 5:08 AMDec 31, 8:00 PM

7.23%chance

292191

OptionVotes

YES

358

Will a new web browser rendering engine reach over 2% market share by 2035?

Sep 26, 3:43 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

60%chance

181008

OptionVotes

YES

1306

704

Will software Web developers be a lower percentage of the workforce in the US in 2030 compared to 2022 ?

Dec 27, 12:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

62.78%chance

20945

OptionVotes

YES

1011

970

Will my color-based web game exceed 100 users in a single day?

Jun 17, 2:28 PMDec 31, 3:25 PM

64%chance

7482

OptionVotes

YES

1333

750

Will any Amazon Web Services data center be nationalized by any country by 2030?

Mar 5, 11:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.46%chance

17245

OptionVotes

YES

996

995

Will the Research Domain Criteria term return more than 50,000 results on Web of Science core collection, on 01/01/2030?

Mar 7, 12:56 PMJan 1, 11:00 AM

24.48%chance

2182

OptionVotes

YES

108

Will Manifold Markets (or its web host) partner with Project Glasswing to bolster its own cybersecurity by EOY2026?

Apr 7, 8:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.6%chance

8166

OptionVotes

YES

203

Will there be 3A games on the Web platform before 2030?

Nov 21, 1:49 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

31.64%chance

694

OptionVotes

YES

126

Who DOSsed Finnish Defence Ministry web pages? (suggest answers, may take time to resolve)

Sep 25, 1:19 AMOct 2, 8:59 PM

368

OptionProbability

Russia

Other

Malta

Iran

North Korea

Non state actor

China

Israel

USA

Web News

Prediction markets for Web

Prediction markets for Web

Prediction markets for Web

Will Fortnite or Roblox run in a web browser before Jan 1st 2027?

Which project will become the next web? (ie, replacing http/html/js)

Will a non-Chromium based web browser be the most popular browser by the end of 2028?

Google deploys ads in Gemini web or mobile app by end of 2026

Will a new web browser rendering engine reach over 2% market share by 2035?

Will software Web developers be a lower percentage of the workforce in the US in 2030 compared to 2022 ?

Will my color-based web game exceed 100 users in a single day?

Will any Amazon Web Services data center be nationalized by any country by 2030?

Will the Research Domain Criteria term return more than 50,000 results on Web of Science core collection, on 01/01/2030?

Will Manifold Markets (or its web host) partner with Project Glasswing to bolster its own cybersecurity by EOY2026?

Will there be 3A games on the Web platform before 2030?

Who DOSsed Finnish Defence Ministry web pages? (suggest answers, may take time to resolve)

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