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Prediction markets for Web

Will OpenAI release a cross-platform web browser by the end of 2026?

Nov 22, 10:01 AMDec 31, 2:59 PM

93.86%chance

167151

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3910

256

Will a non-Chromium based web browser be the most popular browser by the end of 2028?

Oct 11, 5:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.09%chance

143184

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3619

276

Anthropic deploys ads in Claude web or mobile app by end of 2026

Jan 8, 5:09 AMDec 31, 8:00 PM

2%chance

162150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

700

14

Will anyone find me a decent web archival program? [M$20,000 bounty]

Sep 29, 5:17 PMSep 29, 5:14 PM

37.81%chance

92116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1283

780

Will Fortnite or Roblox run in a web browser before Jan 1st 2027?

Jul 2, 7:20 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

30.86%chance

201445

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1441

701

OpenAI deploys ads in ChatGPT web or mobile app by end of 2026

Jan 8, 5:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

97.78%chance

151401

OptionVotes

NO

YES

664

15

Will a new web browser rendering engine reach over 2% market share by 2035?

Sep 26, 3:43 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

60%chance

181008

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1306

704

Will my color-based web game exceed 100 users in a single day?

Jun 17, 2:28 PMDec 31, 3:25 PM

64%chance

7482

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1333

750

Will software Web developers be a lower percentage of the workforce in the US in 2030 compared to 2022 ?

Dec 27, 12:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

65.35%chance

16473

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1041

971

Will AI make a net income of at least $1 mln starting from at most $100 000, on a retail web platform in a few months?

Sep 6, 5:04 PMJul 31, 9:59 PM

14.65%chance

12410

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1181

943

Will any Amazon Web Services data center be nationalized by any country by 2030?

Mar 5, 11:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.46%chance

17245

OptionVotes

YES

NO

996

995

Will the Research Domain Criteria term return more than 50,000 results on Web of Science core collection, on 01/01/2030?

Mar 7, 12:56 PMJan 1, 11:00 AM

24.48%chance

2182

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108

48

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