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Prediction markets for Web

Will Fortnite or Roblox run in a web browser before Jan 1st 2027?

Jul 2, 7:20 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

4.06%chance

214961

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4922

227

Will a non-Chromium based web browser be the most popular browser by the end of 2028?

Oct 11, 5:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.09%chance

143184

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3619

276

Will anyone find me a decent web archival program? [M$20,000 bounty]

Sep 29, 5:17 PMSep 29, 5:14 PM

32.76%chance

102266

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1433

698

Anthropic deploys ads in Claude web or mobile app by end of 2026

Jan 8, 5:09 AMDec 31, 8:00 PM

2%chance

162150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

700

14

Will a new web browser rendering engine reach over 2% market share by 2035?

Sep 26, 3:43 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

60%chance

181008

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1306

704

Will my color-based web game exceed 100 users in a single day?

Jun 17, 2:28 PMDec 31, 3:25 PM

64%chance

7482

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1333

750

Will software Web developers be a lower percentage of the workforce in the US in 2030 compared to 2022 ?

Dec 27, 12:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

65.35%chance

16473

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1041

971

When will an AI develop, maintain and evolve by itself a full web application?

Apr 26, 12:22 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

4280

OptionProbability

after 2054

2028

2030

2034

2038

2046

2054

2026

2025

19

12

12

12

12

12

12

6

4

Will any Amazon Web Services data center be nationalized by any country by 2030?

Mar 5, 11:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.46%chance

17245

OptionVotes

YES

NO

996

995

When will Teslas no longer be able to use the web browser whilst driving?

Apr 27, 8:39 PMJan 5, 7:59 AM

6169

OptionProbability

2026-2028

2024-2026

2028-2030

2030-2032

2032-2034

2034-2036

2036-2038

2038-2040

2040-2042

2042-2044

2044-2046

2046-2048

2048-2050

2050-2052

2052-2054

2054-2056

2056-2058

2058-2060

2060-2062

2062-2064

2064-2066

2066-2068

2068-2070

2070-2072

2072-2074

2074-2076

2076-2078

2078-2080

2080-2082

2082-2084

2084-2086

2086-2088

2088-2090

2090-2092

2092-2094

2094-2096

2096-2098

2098-2100

2100-2102

25

16

10

9

8

6

4

3

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

A free web browser can search for text within images on web pages, by mid 2027

Nov 25, 9:34 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

50.19%chance

459

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will Servo the web browser engine get 100% on all Web Platform Tests before end of year 2030?

Apr 24, 10:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

49.55%chance

221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

101

99

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