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Prediction markets for Web

Will OpenAI release a cross-platform web browser by the end of 2026?

Nov 22, 10:01 AMDec 31, 2:59 PM

94.22%chance

157143

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4036

248

Will a non-Chromium based web browser be the most popular browser by the end of 2028?

Oct 11, 5:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.1%chance

142934

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3369

297

Will anyone find me a decent web archival program? [M$20,000 bounty]

Sep 29, 5:17 PMSep 29, 5:14 PM

37.81%chance

92116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1283

780

Will Fortnite or Roblox run in a web browser before Jan 1st 2027?

Jul 2, 7:20 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

31%chance

191440

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1436

704

Will a new web browser rendering engine reach over 2% market share by 2035?

Sep 26, 3:43 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

62.15%chance

17873

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1360

670

React is no longer the most popular web frontend framework and gets succeeded by:

Jan 18, 1:12 PMJan 1, 6:29 PM

21802

OptionProbability

React remains supreme past 2029

Svelte

Vue

Solid

Alpine

Angular

57

36

21

20

18

15

Will software Web developers be a lower percentage of the workforce in the US in 2030 compared to 2022 ?

Dec 27, 12:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

65.35%chance

16473

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1041

971

Will AI make a net income of at least $1 mln starting from at most $100 000, on a retail web platform in a few months?

Sep 6, 5:04 PMJul 31, 9:59 PM

14.65%chance

12410

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1181

943

Will any Amazon Web Services data center be nationalized by any country by 2030?

Mar 5, 11:39 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

39.46%chance

17245

OptionVotes

YES

NO

996

995

Will the Research Domain Criteria term return more than 50,000 results on Web of Science core collection, on 01/01/2030?

Mar 7, 12:56 PMJan 1, 11:00 AM

24.48%chance

2182

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108

48

When will Teslas no longer be able to use the web browser whilst driving?

Apr 27, 8:39 PMJan 5, 7:59 AM

6166

OptionProbability

2024-2026

2026-2028

2030-2032

2028-2030

2032-2034

2034-2036

2036-2038

2038-2040

2040-2042

2042-2044

2044-2046

2046-2048

2048-2050

2050-2052

2052-2054

2054-2056

2056-2058

2058-2060

2060-2062

2062-2064

2064-2066

2066-2068

2068-2070

2070-2072

2072-2074

2074-2076

2076-2078

2078-2080

2080-2082

2082-2084

2084-2086

2086-2088

2088-2090

2090-2092

2092-2094

2094-2096

2096-2098

2098-2100

2100-2102

39

33

3

2

2

2

2

2

2

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

A free web browser can search for text within images on web pages, by mid 2027

Nov 25, 9:34 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

50.19%chance

459

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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