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Prediction markets for Western technology

When will human literary translators become unnecessary?

Dec 11, 9:50 PMDec 31, 11:00 PM

11.39%chance

18896

OptionProbability

YES

NO

1297

1031

Will the US government adopt and deploy a post-quantum cryptography standard before 2030?

Nov 17, 2:13 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

86.6%chance

17596

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1226

927

Will I learn Chinese before 2030?

Sep 10, 11:20 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

9151

OptionProbability

won't seriously atrempt

will serious attempt, with no success

will learn to a useful level

74

14

12

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