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Prediction markets for Western values

Will a drug designed with significant contribution from an AlphaFold-like system pass a Phase I trial by end of 2025?

Sep 6, 3:00 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

20.67%chance

569741

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1959

510

Will the Chinese Yuan be among the top 3 global payments currencies before 2030?

Apr 30, 11:27 PMDec 31, 12:00 PM

44.11%chance

10337

OptionVotes

NO

YES

119

77

In 2030, will Western Australia's number of killed and serious injuries on the road be less than half of its 2020 value?

Aug 8, 9:37 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

14.53%chance

10295

OptionVotes

YES

NO

427

222

Who will win the clash of civilizations.

Mar 10, 11:11 PMDec 31, 2:59 PM

4130

OptionProbability

Anglos🇺🇸

None

China🇨🇳

Other

Subcontinentals🇮🇳

Orthodoxy🇷🇺

27

26

19

14

9

5

Potential questions for long bet on Robin Hanson Orthodox Jews thesis (500 mana / 100 per great question or comment)

Oct 16, 1:57 AM

00

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