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Prediction markets for Wheel of Time

When will the next game of thrones book by GRR Martin - "winds of winter", be released?

Aug 3, 10:42 AMAug 3, 10:59 PM

4211655

OptionProbability

Other

2027

2028

2026

2029

2030

2031

2032

2025

2024

32

27

11

7

6

6

5

4

1

0

Will the Wheel of Time on Amazon Prime Video be renewed for a fourth season by December 31, 2025?

Jul 24, 8:48 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

1.59%chance

133231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2013

26

When will Waymo offer a public driverless ride of their next generation vehicles (Zeekr, possibly no steering wheel)?

Apr 21, 8:01 PMJul 3, 6:59 AM

221677

OptionProbability

Before July 1, 2026

Not before July 1, 2026

Before Dec 31, 2025

Before July 1, 2024

Before Dec 31, 2024

Before July 1, 2025

71

17

14

0

0

0

When will the second volume of "Fire & Blood" by George R. R. Martin be released?

Sep 15, 7:05 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

81571

OptionProbability

Before 2040

Before 2029

Before 2035

Before 2030

Before 2028

Before 2027

Before 2026

74

67

58

52

50

40

2

Save WOT succeeds by uncancelling the show?

May 29, 12:48 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.96%chance

81505

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1235

70

Will a four-legged robot run faster than a cheetah over a long distance outdoors before 2035?

Aug 7, 7:36 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

86.58%chance

271461

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1513

872

Tesla or Waymo First Serious Self-Driving Taxi Crash?

Apr 26, 6:27 AMDec 31, 6:38 AM

171066

OptionProbability

Tesla

Waymo

66

34

[Wheel of Time] Which of the Forsaken will appear in the TV series?

Sep 20, 12:10 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5265

OptionProbability

Moghedien

Sammael

Graendal

Aginor

Asmodean

Balthamel

Be'lal

Demandred

Mesaana

Rahvin

Semirhage

63

17

10

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Which shows will finish first?

Mar 28, 9:16 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8155

OptionProbability

Star Trek: Strange New Worlds [NO] | Halo [YES]

House of Dragon [NO] | 3 Body Problem [YES]

Avatar: The Last Airbender (live action) [NO] | The Wheel of Time [YES]

The Bachelor (U.S.) [NO] | Love is Blind (U.S.) [YES]

X-Men '97 [NO] | Invincible [YES]

The Bear [NO] | Abbott Elementary [YES]

Doctor Who [NO] | The Simpsons [YES]

100

71

66

50

41

30

24

[Wheel of Time] Will any Darkfriend character from the books be a non-Darkfriend in the show?

Sep 2, 6:23 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

73%chance

3116

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

50

[Wheel of Time] In the show, will Znmevz Gnvz or n Sbefnxra va qvfthvfr?

Sep 20, 12:54 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

69.87%chance

472

OptionVotes

NO

YES

140

88

[Wheel of Time] Will any non-Darkfriend character from the books be a Darkfriend in the show?

Sep 2, 6:26 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

71%chance

342

OptionVotes

NO

YES

126

68

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