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Top stories

House Oversight Panel Probes Wikimedia for Alleged Anti-Israel and Foreign Bias

US Domestic Policy

House Oversight Panel Probes Wikimedia for Alleged Anti-Israel and Foreign Bias

Authors

29

5 months ago

Prediction markets for Wikipedia

Will there be a Wikipedia page on @firstuserhere by the end of 2026? ($1k Mana subsidy)

Sep 29, 7:00 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

2.35%chance

72114465

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15315

596

Will Wikipedia accept prediction markets as a source before 2030?

Dec 29, 3:05 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

27.1%chance

7217419

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1101

522

Will there be a major decentralized Wikipedia competitor before 2031?

Jun 2, 7:17 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

20.21%chance

559201

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1987

503

Before 2027, will there be an AI-written competitor to Wikipedia which I prefer over 2024 Wikipedia?

Dec 18, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

21.87%chance

253413

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1906

534

Will Wikipedia show third-party ads before 2030?

Sep 26, 2:50 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

6.55%chance

83019

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3779

265

Will I be mentioned by name in a Wikipedia article before 2028?

Dec 29, 11:49 PMDec 29, 11:49 PM

16.42%chance

81748

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2256

443

Will Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom be listed on the Wikipedia best video games of all time?

Oct 14, 1:57 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

80.38%chance

291578

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1196

921

Will Wikipedia be unavailable in the UK before 2027 due to the OSA?

Jul 29, 12:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.69%chance

201307

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1846

542

Will there be a Wikipedia article about a "Euro-American split" by the end of 2028

Mar 6, 12:15 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

40.31%chance

101108

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3585

2721

In 2030, will Wikipedia's article on Race and Intelligence still falsely claim the existence of a scientific consensus for 0% genetic causation?

Sep 1, 4:19 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

40.92%chance

16608

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1043

966

Will any mobile game reach a player count of 700 million players before 2027, according to Wikipedia's list?

Apr 6, 4:39 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.72%chance

15367

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1198

890

Will a VR video game make the Wikipedia "best of all time" list by 2030?

Nov 8, 8:36 AMDec 31, 8:00 PM

70.44%chance

17348

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1079

958

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