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Top stories

House Oversight Panel Probes Wikimedia for Alleged Anti-Israel and Foreign Bias

US Domestic Policy

House Oversight Panel Probes Wikimedia for Alleged Anti-Israel and Foreign Bias

Authors

29

11 months ago

Prediction markets for Wikipedia

Will there be a Wikipedia page on @firstuserhere by the end of 2026? ($1k Mana subsidy)

Sep 29, 7:00 AMDec 31, 6:29 PM

2.35%chance

72114465

OptionVotes

YES

NO

15315

596

Will there be a major decentralized Wikipedia competitor before 2031?

Jun 2, 7:17 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

22.33%chance

569384

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1865

536

Before 2027, will there be an AI-written competitor to Wikipedia which I prefer over 2024 Wikipedia?

Dec 18, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

21%chance

263463

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1956

520

Will Wikipedia show third-party ads before 2030?

Sep 26, 2:50 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

6.54%chance

93021

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3781

265

Will I be mentioned by name in a Wikipedia article before 2028?

Dec 29, 11:49 PMDec 29, 11:49 PM

23.41%chance

92245

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1809

553

Will Wikipedia be unavailable in the UK before 2027 due to the OSA?

Jul 29, 12:11 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.34%chance

211811

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2350

426

Will CAISI have a Wikipedia page throughout December 2026?

Jul 2, 11:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

77%chance

91676

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1830

547

Will Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom be listed on the Wikipedia best video games of all time?

Oct 14, 1:57 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

79.66%chance

301588

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1156

931

Will there be a Wikipedia article about a "Euro-American split" by the end of 2028

Mar 6, 12:15 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

40.31%chance

101108

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3585

2721

Will Illinois' AI safety bill have a Wikipedia page throughout December 2026?

Jul 8, 6:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.27%chance

9831

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1745

573

In 2030, will Wikipedia's article on Race and Intelligence still falsely claim the existence of a scientific consensus for 0% genetic causation?

Sep 1, 4:19 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

40.92%chance

16608

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1043

966

Will a VR video game make the Wikipedia "best of all time" list by 2030?

Nov 8, 8:36 AMDec 31, 8:00 PM

70.44%chance

17348

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1079

958

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