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Prediction markets for Wild Forest

Will the Kouprey (Bos sauveli) become extinct in the current century?

Jun 17, 4:44 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

98.6%chance

411261

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7940

75

What Conservation Status Will the IUCN Assign to the Eastern Gorilla (Gorilla beringei) in Its Next Red List Assessment?

Dec 5, 2:41 PMAug 31, 9:59 PM

4562

OptionProbability

Critically Endangered

Critically Endangered (Possibly Extinct in the Wild)

Other

Critically Endangered (Possibly Extinct)

Not Evaluated

Endangered

Extinct in the Wild

New Conservation Status

No Assessment for Taxonomic Reasons

Data Deficient

Least Concern

Near Threatened

Vulnerable

Extinct

49

10

10

9

5

4

4

3

3

1

1

1

1

1

Will the African Forest Elephant (Loxodonta cyclotis) become Extinct by 2100?

Feb 21, 7:50 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

55.2%chance

11259

OptionVotes

YES

NO

604

383

What Conservation Status Will the IUCN Assign to the Eastern Gorilla (Gorilla beringei) in Its Red List in 2050?

Dec 6, 11:11 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

3140

OptionProbability

Endangered

Critically Endangered

Critically Endangered (Possibly Extinct in the Wild)

Critically Endangered (Possibly Extinct)

No Assessment for Taxonomic Reasons

Other

New Conservation Status

Not Evaluated

Extinct in the Wild

Least Concern

Near Threatened

Vulnerable

Extinct

Data Deficient

29

24

14

7

6

6

5

4

2

1

1

1

1

1

What Conservation Status Will the IUCN Assign to the Eastern Gorilla (Gorilla beringei) in Its Red List in 2100?

Dec 6, 11:13 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

2103

OptionProbability

Critically Endangered

Extinct in the Wild

Critically Endangered (Possibly Extinct in the Wild)

Other

Critically Endangered (Possibly Extinct)

Endangered

No Assessment for Taxonomic Reasons

Extinct

New Conservation Status

Not Evaluated

Vulnerable

Least Concern

Near Threatened

Data Deficient

33

9

9

9

8

7

6

5

5

4

2

1

1

1

Will the wild population of the African Forest Elephant (Loxodonta cyclotis) become extinct by 2100?

Apr 3, 10:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

66.33%chance

5100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

570

450

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