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Prediction markets for Wild Thoughts

Will "Race and Gender Bias As An Example of Unfaith..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Jul 3, 3:43 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

14.05%chance

321

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YES

1001

996

Will there be evidence by 2030 that human selection on farmed mushrooms alters our gut microbiome?

May 11, 9:26 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

36.27%chance

321

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NO

108

76

Which AI gave the best response to the White Lotus meme?

Mar 19, 10:01 AM

450

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