Wild West News
Prediction markets for Wild West
Will GPT-5 make Manifold think AI-caused extinction is more likely?
Jan 30, 5:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
58.8%chance
553918
OptionVotes
1035
875
Will GPT-5 make Manifold think very near-term AGI is more likely?
Mar 3, 1:41 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
66.33%chance
371122
OptionVotes
1125
915
Will it be common knowledge that farmed fish, eggs and chicken produce more suffering than other animal products? (2050)
Apr 13, 2:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
56.21%chance
484
OptionVotes
121
100