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Wild West News
Prediction markets for Wild West
Prediction markets for Wild West
Will GPT-5 make Manifold think AI-caused extinction is more likely?
Jan 30, 5:05 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
58.8%
chance
55
3918
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1035
875
Will GPT-5 make Manifold think very near-term AGI is more likely?
Mar 3, 1:41 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
66.33%
chance
37
1122
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1125
915
Will it be common knowledge that farmed fish, eggs and chicken produce more suffering than other animal products? (2050)
Apr 13, 2:04 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
56.21%
chance
4
84
Option
Votes
NO
YES
121
100
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