Windows AI News

Brave Browser Blocks Microsoft Recall Windows AI Tool by Default; AdGuard and Signal Also Join Resistance

9 days ago

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Jun 7, 10:50 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.02%chance

7532370

OptionVotes

YES

25533

3383

Another MechaHitler in one month?

Jul 10, 12:44 PMOct 10, 12:39 PM

21.76%chance

17017064

OptionVotes

YES

1896

527

Eliezer Yudkowsky irrelevant by 2030

Jul 17, 4:23 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

53.85%chance

604322

OptionVotes

YES

1031

947

Will AI out-wipe humanity by 2030?

Aug 14, 8:31 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

11.94%chance

312118

OptionVotes

YES

1692

837

Will there be crewed Starship flights to Mars in 4 years if there are successful launches 2 years from now?

Sep 7, 11:19 PMJul 15, 6:59 AM

19.75%chance

131499

OptionVotes

YES

2016

496

Will AI predict the next magnitude 7+ earthquake to hit San Francisco before it happens?

Jun 21, 1:20 AMJan 2, 2:11 AM

10.45%chance

10380

OptionVotes

YES

293

Will JD Vance read "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies"?

May 21, 6:50 PMSep 16, 6:44 PM

42.6%chance

19378

OptionVotes

YES

116

When will an AI develop, maintain and evolve by itself a full web application?

Apr 26, 12:22 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

4280

OptionProbability

after 2054

2028

2030

2034

2038

2046

2054

2026

2025

Will humanity achieve AGI before good desktop search?

Nov 19, 8:35 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

58.48%chance

4253

OptionVotes

YES

1187

843

Will the market of foundation models be more fragmented than in 2024 by EOY 2026?

Jul 16, 3:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

58.13%chance

4180

OptionVotes

YES

1178

849

Best 8-hour AI score on RE-Bench >= 0.8 by what year?

Jul 16, 6:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

142

OptionProbability

2030

2029

2028

2027

2026

Will SotA on SWE-Lancer (Diamond) reach 400K USD (80%) in 2025?

Apr 7, 2:51 PMJan 15, 11:59 PM

49.79%chance

424

OptionVotes

YES

5014

4986

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Brave Browser Blocks Microsoft Recall Windows AI Tool by Default; AdGuard and Signal Also Join Resistance
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Prediction markets for Windows AI

Prediction markets for Windows AI

Prediction markets for Windows AI

Is the "Promethean virus" in Large Language Models real?

Another MechaHitler in one month?

Eliezer Yudkowsky irrelevant by 2030

Will AI out-wipe humanity by 2030?

Will there be crewed Starship flights to Mars in 4 years if there are successful launches 2 years from now?

Will AI predict the next magnitude 7+ earthquake to hit San Francisco before it happens?

Will JD Vance read "If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies"?

When will an AI develop, maintain and evolve by itself a full web application?

Will humanity achieve AGI before good desktop search?

Will the market of foundation models be more fragmented than in 2024 by EOY 2026?

Best 8-hour AI score on RE-Bench >= 0.8 by what year?

Will SotA on SWE-Lancer (Diamond) reach 400K USD (80%) in 2025?

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