OptionProbability
Implement better memory across all chats
Release GPT-5
Be beaten by Google in text generation on the "Humanity's last exam" leaderboard
Release an IDE (Windsurf or other)
Release a significant update to Sora
Make another aquisition/merger other than Windsurf and io for >1 billion USD
Reach a 500 billion dollar valuation
Release another developer model like GPT4.1
Give equity to Sam Altman
Create a new different state of the art learning algorithm
Announce or release a social media platform
Convert into for-profit
Build AGI internally
100
98
72
70
60
54
50
49
34
23
17
13
