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Prediction markets for With Love

By 2028, will Eliezer Yudkowsky announce he's in love with an AI girlfriend?

Feb 15, 1:31 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

3.09%chance

314914

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3643

799

Will BasedBeffJezos fall in love, make out with, or have babby with janus/repligate by 2035?

Jul 2, 11:14 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.24%chance

22980

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3579

279

By 2028, will Aella announce she's in love with an AI boyfriend?

Feb 16, 9:52 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

6.41%chance

211500

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2217

833

Will Manifold help me secure 1:1 tutoring students I love working with by EOY 2025?

Dec 1, 3:21 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

50.65%chance

7826

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1013

987

Will Jose Luis Ricon (JLR) have a relationship/fall in love with a Blue-and-yellow macaw?

Dec 9, 5:14 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.95%chance

7262

OptionVotes

YES

NO

323

72

Will Barton Rhodes (@bmorphism) end up in a relationship/falling in love with a duck/mallard/wood duck?

Aug 22, 3:52 AMAug 29, 6:59 AM

57.62%chance

4139

OptionVotes

NO

YES

117

86

Will Guillaume Verdon/BasedBeffJezos and Rochelle Shen either date, fall in love with, or have an e/acc baby together?

Dec 23, 6:23 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

35.73%chance

475

OptionVotes

YES

NO

118

70

Will Gwern end up in a relationship (or fall in love) with a thiel fellow?

May 27, 11:25 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

30.49%chance

251

OptionVotes

YES

NO

151

66

Will Brian Chau (psychosort) fall in love with, make out with, or have babby with janus/repligate by 2035?

Jul 4, 5:11 PMJul 6, 3:59 AM

31.16%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

149

67

Will Jose Luis ricon fall in love with/have a relationship with digi.ai

Dec 16, 6:21 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

33.72%chance

323

OptionVotes

YES

NO

113

74

Will @deepfates fall in love with @SymmetricVision or @cube_flipper?

Jul 20, 7:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will there be a >100page fanfiction romance novel of Nick Cammarata falling in love with janus/repligate by EOY2028?

Jan 4, 9:18 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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