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Prediction markets for WON

[ACX 2026] Will the winner of the 2026 FIFA World Cup be a country that has never won before?

Jan 6, 10:57 PMJul 19, 11:59 PM

17.32%chance

225699

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5274

3951

If Trump won the election, Will the U.S. be more democratic in 2025 than it was in 2022?

Jan 13, 5:59 AMDec 31, 5:59 AM

5.21%chance

313214

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2722

813

Will Jose Luis Ricon obtain a provably safe guarantee that his child (#RiconBabby) won't be autistic?

Aug 4, 9:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

13.88%chance

52988

OptionVotes

YES

NO

249

40

The first fully autonomous vehicle will be sold to consumers in 2026 — but it won’t be from Tesla

Jan 2, 7:44 AMJan 10, 7:59 AM

21.6%chance

62435

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1908

526

Republicans win a 2026 US Senate election in a state Kamala won?(excluding maine)

Jan 24, 6:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.59%chance

102318

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2283

1569

The next American mission that lands a human on the surface of the Moon won't involve SLS

Apr 20, 1:05 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

42%chance

231738

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1083

859

In 2050, we still won't be able to exactly duplicate a strawberry.

Feb 23, 7:50 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

55.29%chance

271455

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1214

406

Will at least 3 of the 10 Technologies that Won't Exist in 5 Years, exist in 5 years?

Jun 25, 8:30 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

19.18%chance

61200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2053

487

If Talarico or Crockett wins the 2026 US Senate election in Texas, will governor Abbott refuse to certify that they won?

Jan 29, 6:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.29%chance

11861

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1222

951

When will the Aspirational Neuroscience Memory Decoding Prize be won, if it is won by 2045?

Dec 20, 12:01 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5645

OptionProbability

2027

2035

2031

2033

2029

2037

2039

2041

2043

2045

Later than 2045 or never

59

7

5

5

4

3

3

3

3

3

3

Will South Korea offer a 100 million won baby bonus (~$70k) by 2028?

May 9, 8:26 PMDec 25, 4:59 AM

31%chance

17442

OptionVotes

YES

NO

149

67

Will the 2026-27 CFP be won by a conference champion?

Jan 22, 2:42 PMJan 19, 4:00 AM

64.6%chance

2351

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1351

740

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