OptionProbability
Competing frontier lab shows a global workspace on one of their own closed models using similar experimental methods
Well-known researcher attempts to reproduce global workspace results on open-weight models
Well-known researcher uses Anthropic’s methods on open-weight models to find novel evidence of a global workspace
Paper providing independent evidence of global workspace passes peer review in any major conference
Well-known researcher casts public doubt on Anthropic’s claims, methods, or results
70
59
54
47
40