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Top stories

SEC Investigates Jon Isaac Tied to Trump-Linked Alt5 Sigma

SEC Investigates Jon Isaac Tied to Trump-Linked Alt5 Sigma

Authors

12

4 months ago

Prediction markets for World Liberty

Will the United States degrade into a 'Hybrid Regime' on the Economist Democracy Index before 2040?

Jun 20, 10:38 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

44.01%chance

324918

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1128

887

USA's 2025 Economist Democracy Index score?

Apr 17, 8:07 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

124712

OptionProbability

7 - 7.99

6 - 6.99

5 - 5.99

Below 5

8 - 8.99

9 - 10

55

28

14

1

1

1

Will the United States become a dictatorship by 2100?

Mar 24, 3:56 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

26.14%chance

14293

OptionVotes

YES

NO

201

174

[Long Bet 121 prediction clone(ish)] By 2103 people can live where they like in the world if they obey local laws.

Sep 3, 7:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.66%chance

6116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

126

79

How will Australia's freedom index change in 2026?

May 26, 8:38 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

5106

OptionProbability

It drops below 95

It drops below 90

It stays at 95

It rises above 95

57

38

36

34

Will the United States cease to be "free" before 2030?

Dec 8, 6:41 PMApr 1, 6:59 AM

17.81%chance

699

OptionVotes

YES

NO

225

118

US freedom index at 80 or less in 2026?

May 22, 12:11 AMMar 31, 11:00 PM

75.79%chance

483

OptionVotes

NO

YES

177

57

What will Gabon's 2028 'Freedom in the World' score be?

Sep 9, 3:05 AMSep 16, 6:59 AM

39%chance

324

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

79

Longtermist Policymakers create mass-surveillance civilisational risk monitoring programme by 1st Jan 2028

Aug 11, 11:25 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

39.31%chance

215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

78

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