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Prediction markets for World War II Ustaše

U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026

Feb 4, 2:18 AMNov 2, 12:00 AM

3%chance

2721165

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17967

2050

US nukes Iran in 2025?

Jun 20, 3:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.21%chance

298402

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6656

150

Will Poland get any WW2 reparations from Germany before end of 2025?

Sep 16, 6:58 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

3%chance

415737

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3575

792

Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in combat before January 1, 2030?

Jun 10, 4:08 PMJan 2, 3:59 PM

11.6%chance

324675

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2761

362

Will a World War II veteran live to see AGI?

May 27, 4:36 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

19.98%chance

443556

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1812

656

Will the current Italian government last for the entire term of office?

Sep 4, 6:15 PMOct 22, 9:59 PM

26.31%chance

241090

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1044

967

Chinese military parade on September 3, 2025, features marching humanoid robots

Jul 25, 5:57 PMSep 4, 11:59 PM

29.72%chance

151064

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1538

650

Will russia attack and/or occupy european NATO area until EOY2029? And if so, where will that happen first?

May 23, 4:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6693

OptionProbability

Not on NATO area/Not at all

Finland

Other

Estonia

Lithuania

Latvia

79

7

6

3

3

3

Will the toothbrush mustache (as most commonly associated with Adolf Hitler) regain popularity by the end of 2025?

Jan 21, 2:12 AMDec 31, 1:29 PM

6.19%chance

6503

OptionVotes

YES

NO

389

26

Will the last living World War II veteran be from the Axis rather than the allies?

May 27, 4:37 PMJun 29, 6:59 AM

41%chance

12441

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1037

975

Will China turn on Russia before 2030?

Jan 13, 4:38 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

21%chance

8360

OptionVotes

YES

NO

194

52

Will the current Italian government complete its full term until 2027?

Jan 2, 8:58 PMOct 22, 9:59 PM

28.37%chance

7132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

159

63

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