Worth It News

If I accept the Penguin job, at what will I rate my overall life satisfaction in 2 years, on a scale of 0-100?

If I accept the Genesis job, at what will I rate my overall life satisfaction in 2 years, on a scale of 0-100?

If I accept the Genesis job, will I believe it to have been the correct decision in 6 months?

If I accept the Penguin job, will I believe it to have been the correct decision in 6 months?

If I accept the Penguin job, will I believe it to have been the correct decision in 4 years?

If I accept the Genesis job, what will be my bonus in my first full year? (At a rate of 1 percentage point = $3000. So e.g. if it's $100k this answer resolves to 33%.)

If I accept the Genesis job, will my total earnings from it after 5 years be at least 1.5 million?

If I accept the Genesis job, will I believe it to have been the correct decision in 4 years?

If I accept the Penguin job, will my total earnings from it after 5 years (valuing unsold equity at whatever I think it's "really worth") be at least 1.5 million?

If I accept the Genesis job, will I end up leaving on bad terms?

If I accept the Penguin job, will I end up leaving on bad terms?

YES

Barri Worth Girvan

Tim Gaspar

Jon Rawlings

Lehi White

Christopher Robert Celona

Will SpaceX's Starship–SuperHeavy lift off from the launch pad two or more times between 1 January 2024 and 1 July 2024 inclusive?

Will Manifold users reach the $10,000 monthly charity donation cap in any of the first six months of 2024? (Excepting the excluded period at the start of January)?

Will Starship IFT-3 launch within a week of receiving the launch license from the FAA?

To whom does Manifold need to extend its userbase in order to be self-sustaining (link in comments)

[Don't bet on this yet, criteria TBA] How many Manifold users will have a net worth of 1 million mana or more on 1 July 2024? (Rules below)

Will the Tesla Cybertruck be available in Australia by 2034?

[At least ten answers will be added in 2024 that I don't initially N/A]

Unproven but promising: Too early to tell

Ineffective: Any benefits are too small to be worth the drawbacks

Valuable but imperfect: Some healthy adults should consider it, but there are major drawbacks

Harmful/scandalous: Clear serious drawbacks that last beyond cessation of treatment

NO

Project Hail Mary

The Metropolitan Man

Worth the Candle

The Black Company

Consider Phlebas

Grog (by RW Krpoun)

The Torture Camp on Paradise Street

House of Leaves

HPMOR

The Orphanage

The Shadow in the East

Red Famine

Switch: How to Change Things When Change Is Hard

Elon Musk involvement cut short

5+ of lawsuits against DOGE dismissed

Will generally be perceived as a bad thing by mid 2026

Announces $500 billion in savings

50 lawsuits launched against DOGE

+20 cases against DOGE results in them being barred from / ordered to do something

DOGE Creation Executive Order Blocked / Overturned

Announces $1 trillion in savings