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AWS Launches Amazon Bedrock AgentCore With Custom Nova Models, Session Isolation; LakeFS and Runloop Secure Funding

3 days ago

Will 5%+ of writers and designers lose their jobs by 2025?

May 12, 9:26 AMApr 1, 3:59 PM

42%chance

422978

OptionVotes

YES

1394

1107

Will Scott Alexander (psychiatrist and writer) be arrested before 2030?

Dec 18, 5:02 AMDec 31, 5:00 AM

3.79%chance

242389

OptionVotes

YES

1428

948

Will Richard Hanania (political writer) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

Jan 2, 6:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6.51%chance

221991

OptionVotes

YES

1270

952

How long until a writer can use AI alone to generate consistent imagery for a comic book / graphic novel?

Jan 9, 2:38 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

28%chance

19558

OptionProbability

YES

1073

697

Is the writer of Death Note (Tsugumi Ohba) a man?

Jun 20, 6:06 PMJun 21, 6:06 PM

82.12%chance

4196

OptionVotes

YES

214

Will a widely read online blogger/author/opinion writer turns out to be an AI before 2030?

Nov 3, 8:35 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

85.93%chance

5121

OptionVotes

YES

173

By the end of 2025, will WGA writers be widely agreed to have worse job prospects/compensation due to AI screenwriting?

Jul 2, 4:03 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

65.96%chance

7112

OptionVotes

YES

197

151

Will the non-fiction writers suing OpenAI and Microsoft obtain class certification?

Jan 8, 2:45 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

8.95%chance

1110

OptionVotes

YES

160

Who is Tsugumi Ohba, the writer of Death Note?

Jun 20, 6:05 PMJun 21, 6:04 PM

286

OptionProbability

Hiroshi Gamo

Other

Toshio Okada

Takeshi Obata

Will the writer of Death Note (Tsugumi Ohba) be confirmed to be Hiroshi Gamo by the end of 2028?

Jun 20, 6:01 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

110

Will the writer of Death Note (Tsugumi Ohba) be confirmed to be Hiroshi Gamo before he dies?

Jun 20, 6:02 PMJun 21, 6:02 PM

47.56%chance

OptionVotes

YES

105

Will the identity of the writer of Death Note (Tsugumi Ohba) be kept a secret successfully until after they die?

Jun 20, 6:03 PMJun 20, 6:03 PM

47.56%chance

OptionVotes

YES

105

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Prediction markets for Writer

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Prediction markets for Writer

Will 5%+ of writers and designers lose their jobs by 2025?

Will Scott Alexander (psychiatrist and writer) be arrested before 2030?

Will Richard Hanania (political writer) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?

How long until a writer can use AI alone to generate consistent imagery for a comic book / graphic novel?

Is the writer of Death Note (Tsugumi Ohba) a man?

Will a widely read online blogger/author/opinion writer turns out to be an AI before 2030?

By the end of 2025, will WGA writers be widely agreed to have worse job prospects/compensation due to AI screenwriting?

Will the non-fiction writers suing OpenAI and Microsoft obtain class certification?

Who is Tsugumi Ohba, the writer of Death Note?

Will the writer of Death Note (Tsugumi Ohba) be confirmed to be Hiroshi Gamo by the end of 2028?

Will the writer of Death Note (Tsugumi Ohba) be confirmed to be Hiroshi Gamo before he dies?

Will the identity of the writer of Death Note (Tsugumi Ohba) be kept a secret successfully until after they die?

Latest stories

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