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Prediction markets for WSJ
OptionVotes
24861
7027
Will Taiwan de facto be controlled by China before 2026 according to Western media?
Jan 28, 6:39 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
3.76%chance
2440407
OptionVotes
36783
7377
Will audio recordings of FDIC malfeasance vis crypto be confirmed?
Jan 12, 9:50 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
13.19%chance
5529670
OptionVotes
24349
5000
Congress passes law against Trump's tariffs in 2025?
Apr 3, 7:40 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
11.34%chance
629652
OptionVotes
2796
358
What will be the outcome of Trump's lawsuit against the Wall Street Journal?
Jul 19, 7:42 AMDec 31, 8:41 AM
434570
OptionProbability
72
26
2
Will the WSJ, NYT, FT, or Economist create a market on Manifold by 2030?
Oct 29, 5:04 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
19.52%chance
292067
OptionVotes
1836
655
OptionVotes
2119
472
Will Ice Cream turn out to actually be "healthy" based on consensus view at EOY 2026?
Nov 11, 7:11 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
18.67%chance
171570
OptionVotes
6171
4649
Will the first WSJ article about Manifold mention assassination markets?
Apr 3, 4:53 AMJan 2, 12:59 AM
38.35%chance
16765
OptionVotes
1102
920
Will a international AI watchdog body enter into force by May 30, 2027?
Jun 15, 1:27 PMMay 31, 4:00 AM
64.02%chance
20691
OptionVotes
1093
775
Will the WSJ do an expose-style piece on Bryan Johnson before 2027?
Feb 11, 10:28 PMJan 1, 8:59 PM
62.8%chance
493
OptionVotes
316
287
Will A New Accusation of Sexual Impropriety Be Made Against Gavin Newsom by the MSM before Nov 8 2028?
Dec 5, 3:27 PMNov 9, 6:59 AM
50.74%chance
335
OptionVotes
1015
985